Rays vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 22

Updated Jul. 22, 2023 4:06 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Yandy Diaz and the Tampa Bay Rays take on Gunnar Henderson and the Baltimore Orioles on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET, in the third of a four-game series at Tropicana Field. Oddsmakers list the Rays as -196 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Orioles +165 moneyline odds. Tampa Bay is a 1.5-run favorite (at +107 odds). The total is 7.5 runs for the game.

The Tampa Bay Rays will hand the ball to Shane McClanahan (11-1, 2.56 ERA), who is looking for win No. 12 on the season, and the Orioles will counter with Grayson Rodriguez (2-2, 7.33 ERA).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Rays-Orioles game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Rays vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, July 22, 2023 at 4:10 PM ET
Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
How to Watch on TV: BSSUN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Rays	-196	+165	7.5	-121	+101	-1.5	+107	-128

Rays vs. Orioles Prediction

Score Prediction: Rays 4, Orioles 3
Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Rays 56%, Orioles 44%

Rays vs. Orioles Betting Insights

The Rays have entered the game as favorites 83 times this season and won 55, or 66.3%, of those games.
Tampa Bay has a record of 19-5 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -196 on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 66.2% chance of a victory for the Rays.
The Orioles have won in 25, or 52.1%, of the 48 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This year, Baltimore has won two of three games when listed as at least +165 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 37.7% chance of walking away with the win.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

The Rays went 4-3 across the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Rays and their opponents combined to go over the total two times.
The Rays have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	13
ERA	3.51
K/9	9.6

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Rays Player Insights

Wander Franco has 23 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 34 walks while batting .270.
Of all hitters in baseball, Franco is 109th in homers and 77th in RBI.
Diaz is batting .319 to lead his team.
Diaz is 75th in homers and 77th in RBI on the season.
Diaz heads into this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with a double, two walks and two RBI.
Randy Arozarena has put up a team-best 61 runs batted in.
Isaac Paredes is hitting .261 with 15 doubles, 18 home runs and 34 walks.
Paredes has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with a double, two home runs, a walk and two RBI.

Rays Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Yandy Díaz	1.5 (+175)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+210)
Randy Arozarena	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+140)
Wander Franco	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+235)
Josh Lowe	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+225)
Isaac Paredes	0.5 (-164)	0.5 (-164)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+185)

Learn more about this Rays vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

The Orioles have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Orioles and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
The Orioles have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	5.6
HR	13
ERA	4.10
K/9	8.4

Orioles Player Insights

Adley Rutschman is hitting .273 with 16 doubles, 13 home runs and 58 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .374.
In all of the big leagues, Rutschman is 75th in homers and 91st in RBI.
Anthony Santander has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 17 home runs and 54 RBI.
Santander ranks 32nd among all batters in MLB in homers, and 38th in RBI.
Adam Frazier is hitting .233 with 12 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 24 walks.
Henderson has 12 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 41 walks while batting .243.

Orioles Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Ryan Mountcastle	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+205)
Austin Hays	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+230)
Aaron Hicks	0.5 (-145)	0.5 (-145)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+240)
Jorge Mateo	0.5 (-130)	0.5 (-130)	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+310)
Gunnar Henderson	0.5 (-159)	0.5 (-159)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+265)

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