Rays vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 23

Updated Jul. 23, 2023 1:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Gunnar Henderson and Yandy Diaz hit the field when the Baltimore Orioles and Tampa Bay Rays meet on Sunday at Tropicana Field. Oddsmakers list the Rays as -147 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Orioles +125 moneyline odds. Tampa Bay is the run-line favorite (-1.5). An 8.5-run total is set in this game.

The scheduled starters are Taj Bradley (5-6) for the Tampa Bay Rays, and Tyler Wells (7-5) for the Baltimore Orioles.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Rays-Orioles game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Rays vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, July 23, 2023 at 1:40 PM ET
Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
How to Watch on TV: BSSUN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Rays	-147	+125	8.5	-106	-114	-1.5	+140	-166

Rays vs. Orioles Prediction

Score Prediction: Rays 6, Orioles 5
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Rays 54%, Orioles 46%

Rays vs. Orioles Betting Insights

The Rays have entered the game as favorites 84 times this season and won 55, or 65.5%, of those games.
This season Tampa Bay has won 39 of its 53 games, or 73.6%, when favored by at least -147 on the moneyline.
The Rays have a 59.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Orioles have come away with 26 wins in the 49 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This season, Baltimore has been victorious nine times in 15 chances when named as an underdog of at least +125 or longer on the moneyline.
The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 44.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

The Rays have a 4-4 record from the eight games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Rays combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total three times.
The Rays have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.1
HR	13
ERA	3.72
K/9	10

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Rays Player Insights

Wander Franco has 23 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 34 walks while batting .270.
In all of MLB, Franco ranks 110th in homers and 67th in RBI.
Diaz's .316 batting average is a team-high mark.
Diaz ranks 80th in home runs and 80th in RBI in the major leagues.
Randy Arozarena has a team-high 62 runs batted in.
Isaac Paredes is hitting .261 with 15 doubles, 18 home runs and 34 walks.
Paredes takes a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with a double, a home run, a walk and two RBI.

Rays Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Harold Ramirez	1.5 (+170)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+150)
Randy Arozarena	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+320)	0.5 (+120)
Manuel Margot	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+220)
Christian Bethancourt	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+180)
Yandy Díaz	1.5 (+165)	1.5 (-115)	0.5 (+360)	0.5 (+170)

Learn more about this Rays vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

The Orioles have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
The Orioles and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Orioles have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	5.6
HR	13
ERA	4.40
K/9	8.7

Orioles Player Insights

Adley Rutschman is batting .270 with 16 doubles, 13 home runs and 60 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .374.
In all of the big leagues, Rutschman is 80th in homers and 92nd in RBI.
Anthony Santander been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with 17 home runs and 54 RBI.
Santander is 32nd in home runs and 42nd in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
Adam Frazier is hitting .236 with 12 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 24 walks.
Henderson is batting .243 with 12 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 41 walks.

Orioles Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Austin Hays	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+185)
Ryan Mountcastle	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+200)
Adley Rutschman	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+205)
Ryan O'Hearn	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+170)
Anthony Santander	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+285)	0.5 (+140)

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