Rays vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 16

Updated Sep. 16, 2023 6:22 p.m. ET

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Yandy Diaz and the Tampa Bay Rays head into the third of a four-game series against Aaron Hicks and the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Saturday at 7:05 PM ET. The Rays are the favorite in this one, at -125, while the underdog Orioles have +106 odds to upset. Tampa Bay is a 1.5-run favorite (at +137 odds). The total for the game is set at 7.5 runs.

The Rays will give the ball to Tyler Glasnow (9-5) versus the Orioles and Grayson Rodriguez (5-4).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Rays-Orioles game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Rays vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
• Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
• How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Rays vs. Orioles Prediction

• Score Prediction: Orioles 6, Rays 5
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Rays 51%, Orioles 49%

Rays vs. Orioles Betting Insights

• This season, the Rays have been favored 120 times and won 80, or 66.7%, of those games.
• Tampa Bay has entered 103 games this season favored by -125 or more and is 73-30 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 55.6% chance of a victory for the Rays.
• The Orioles have been chosen as underdogs in 71 games this year and have walked away with the win 40 times (56.3%) in those games.
• This season, Baltimore has come away with a win 27 times in 48 chances when named as an underdog of at least +106 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 48.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays played as the moneyline favorite in six of their last 10 games, and won all of them.
• In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Rays combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total five times.
• The Rays have a 9-1-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Diaz has a team-best batting average of .322.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Diaz is 76th in homers and 61st in RBI.
• Diaz carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .364 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
• Randy Arozarena has 17 doubles, three triples, 22 home runs and 75 walks while hitting .262.
• Of all major league hitters, Arozarena is 60th in home runs and 38th in RBI.
• Arozarena has five straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .409 with a double, a triple, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
• Isaac Paredes leads the Rays with 29 home runs and 89 runs batted in.
• Josh Lowe is batting .282 with 27 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 26 walks.

Learn more about this Rays vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Orioles have been underdogs twice and split those games 1-1.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Orioles and their opponents are 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Orioles have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Orioles Recent Stats

Orioles Player Insights

• Adley Rutschman has 24 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 83 walks while hitting .266.
• In all of the big leagues, Rutschman ranks 95th in homers and 68th in RBI.
• Anthony Santander has hit 27 home runs with 84 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
• Santander is 26th in home runs and 35th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Gunnar Henderson is batting .257 with 26 doubles, eight triples, 26 home runs and 51 walks.
• Austin Hays leads the Orioles with a .281 batting average.

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MLB - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles - 09/16/2023

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