Rays vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 31

Rays vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 31

Updated Aug. 31, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The San Diego Padres and Manny Machado hit the field in the second game of a three-game series against Yandy Diaz and the Tampa Bay Rays, on Saturday at Tropicana Field. The Rays are the favorite in this one, at -122, while the underdog Padres have +102 odds to upset. Tampa Bay is favored on the run line (-1.5). The game's total is set at 8 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Rays-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres vs. Rays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the San Diego Padres and the Tampa Bay Rays game on August 30th, 2024.
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Rays vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, August 31, 2024 at 4:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
  • How to Watch on TV: SDPA
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Rays -122 +102 8 -112 -108 -1.5 +167 -202

Rays vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Padres 5, Rays 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Rays 51%, Padres 49%

Rays vs. Padres Betting Insights

  • This season, the Rays have won 32 out of the 63 games, or 50.8%, in which they've been favored.
  • Tampa Bay has entered 46 games this season favored by -122 or more and is 25-21 in those contests.
  • The Rays have a 55% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Padres have come away with 28 wins in the 51 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, San Diego has won 14 of 29 games when listed as at least +102 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 49.5% chance of walking away with the win.
FINAL
SD 4 · TB 11
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
San Diego Padres
SD
Tampa Bay Rays
TB

Rays Recent Betting Performance

  • The Rays were the moneyline favorite in four of their last 10 games, and finished 2-2 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups, the Rays and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Rays have gone 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.0
HR 12
ERA 4.39
K/9 8.7

Rays Player Insights

  • Diaz comes into Saturday's game hitting .276 with 59 RBI, both team-leading marks for the Rays. He has also connected on 12 homers in 2024.
  • Diaz's home runs place him 141st in the majors, and he ranks 75th in RBI.
  • Christopher Morel has hit 21 home runs to lead his team.
  • Morel is 37th in home runs in the majors, and 92nd in RBI.
  • Morel has two games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .125 with a walk.
  • Brandon Lowe has 18 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 31 walks while batting .241.
  • Jose Caballero is hitting .226 with 22 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 23 walks.

Rays Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Junior Caminero 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+185)
Brandon Lowe 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+175)
Josh Lowe 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+165)
Ben Rortvedt 0.5 (-175) 0.5 (-175) - 0.5 (+210)
Jose Caballero 0.5 (-190) 0.5 (-190) - 0.5 (+175)

Learn more about this Rays vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
  • The Padres are 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 13
ERA 4.39
K/9 9.5

Padres Player Insights

  • Jurickson Profar is batting .283 with 24 doubles, 21 home runs and 64 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .384.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Profar is 37th in homers and 21st in RBI.
  • Machado has hit 23 home runs with 83 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
  • Machado is currently 28th in home runs and 16th in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Jackson Merrill is batting .292 with 22 doubles, six triples, 20 home runs and 24 walks.
  • Luis Arraez leads the team in batting average with a mark of .307.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+175)
Jackson Merrill 0.5 (-275) 1.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+150)
Manny Machado 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+135)
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+240)
Mason McCoy 0.5 (-140) 0.5 (-140) - 0.5 (+285)

Padres vs. Rays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the San Diego Padres and the Tampa Bay Rays game on August 30th, 2024.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Tampa Bay Rays
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