Rays vs. Rangers AL Wild Card Game 1 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 3

Updated Oct. 3, 2023 3:06 p.m. ET

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The Tampa Bay Rays will host the Texas Rangers to start the AL Wild Card Series on Tuesday at 3:08 PM ET, live on ABC from Tropicana Field. The Rays are -153 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Rangers (+130). Tampa Bay is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 7.5 runs for this matchup (with -115 odds to hit the over and -104 odds to go under).

The scheduled starters are Tyler Glasnow (10-7) for the Tampa Bay Rays, and Jordan Montgomery (10-11) for the Texas Rangers.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Rays-Rangers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Rays vs. Rangers Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, October 3, 2023 at 3:08 PM ET
• Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
• How to Watch on TV: ABC

Rays vs. Rangers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Rays 5, Rangers 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Rays 55%, Rangers 45%

Rays vs. Rangers Betting Insights

• The Rays have won 86, or 66.2%, of the 130 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Tampa Bay is 54-19 this season when entering a game favored by -153 or more on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 60.5% chance of a victory for the Rays.
• The Rangers have been underdogs in 50 games this season and have come away with the win 24 times (48%) in those contests.
• This season, Texas has been victorious six times in 16 chances when named as an underdog of at least +130 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 43.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays went 5-3 over the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Rays and their opponents combined to go over the total nine times.
• The Rays have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Yandy Diaz has put up a team-high batting average of .330.
• Of all batters in MLB, Diaz's home run total places him 73rd, and his RBI tally puts him 63rd.
• Isaac Paredes has shown off his power as he leads his team with 31 home runs and 98 RBI.
• Paredes ranks 22nd in home runs in baseball, and 20th in RBI.
• Paredes carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .238 with a double, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
• Randy Arozarena is batting .255 with 19 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 80 walks.
• Josh Lowe is batting .292 with 32 doubles, two triples, 20 home runs and 31 walks.
• Lowe is riding an 11-game hitting streak into this one. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .400 with five doubles, two home runs, five walks and eight RBI.

Rays Team Props

Learn more about this Rays vs. Rangers matchup on Fox Sports.

Rangers Recent Betting Performance

• The Rangers have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and have gone 1-3 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Rangers and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
• The Rangers have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Rangers Recent Stats

Rangers Player Insights

• Marcus Semien has 40 doubles, four triples, 29 home runs and 72 walks while hitting .276.
• In all of MLB, Semien ranks 30th in home runs and 17th in RBI.
• Corey Seager's .325 batting average paces his team.
• Among all MLB hitters, Seager is 16th in homers and 27th in RBI.
• Adolis Garcia leads the Rangers in home runs (39) and runs batted in (107).
• Nate Lowe is batting .262 with 38 doubles, three triples, 17 home runs and 93 walks.

Rangers Team Props

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