Rays vs. Rangers AL Wild Card Game 2 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 4

Rays vs. Rangers AL Wild Card Game 2 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 4

Updated Oct. 4, 2023 3:03 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The AL Wild Card Series continues on Wednesday when the Tampa Bay Rays play host to the Texas Rangers. The Rangers will look to clinch a berth in the ALDS when the game begins at 3:08 PM ET on ABC. The Rays are favored in this one, at -149, while the underdog Rangers have +127 odds to win. Tampa Bay is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total is 8 runs for the game (with -105 odds on the over and -115 odds on the under).

The Tampa Bay Rays will hand the ball to Zach Eflin (16-8, 3.50 ERA), who is looking for win No. 17 on the season, and the Rangers will turn to Nathan Eovaldi (12-5, 3.63 ERA).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Rays-Rangers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Rays vs. Rangers Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Wednesday, October 4, 2023 at 3:08 PM ET
  • Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
  • How to Watch on TV: ABC
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Rays -149 +127 8 -105 -115 -1.5 +139 -165

Rays vs. Rangers Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Rays 5, Rangers 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Rays 54%, Rangers 46%

Rays vs. Rangers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Rays have won 86 out of the 131 games, or 65.6%, in which they've been favored.
  • This season Tampa Bay has won 54 of its 76 games, or 71.1%, when favored by at least -149 on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 59.8% chance of a victory for the Rays.
  • The Rangers have been chosen as underdogs in 51 games this year and have walked away with the win 25 times (49%) in those games.
  • Texas has a mark of 8-12 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +127 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 44.1% chance of walking away with the win.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

  • The Rays were the moneyline favorite in eight of their last 10 games, and they finished 5-3 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Rays and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total eight times.
  • The Rays' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.6
HR 13
ERA 5.00
K/9 10.1

Rays Player Insights

  • Yandy Diaz leads the Rays with a .330 batting average.
  • Of all hitters in MLB, Diaz's home run total places him 73rd, and his RBI tally ranks him 63rd.
  • Isaac Paredes' 31 home runs and 98 RBI both lead his team.
  • Paredes is 22nd in home runs and 20th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
  • Paredes enters this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .300 with a double, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
  • Randy Arozarena is batting .255 with 19 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 80 walks.
  • Arozarena has at least one base hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .313 with three doubles and three walks.
  • Josh Lowe is hitting .292 with 32 doubles, two triples, 20 home runs and 31 walks.

Rays Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Manuel Margot 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+190)
Randy Arozarena 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+205)
Yandy Díaz 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+205)
Josh Lowe 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+135)
Harold Ramirez 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+165)

Learn more about this Rays vs. Rangers matchup on Fox Sports.

Rangers Recent Betting Performance

  • In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Rangers have a record of 2-3.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Rangers and their opponents have failed to hit the over eight times.
  • The Rangers have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Rangers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 16
ERA 3.24
K/9 9

Rangers Player Insights

  • Marcus Semien is hitting .276 with 40 doubles, four triples, 29 home runs and 72 walks.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Semien is 30th in homers and 17th in RBI.
  • Corey Seager has a club-high .325 batting average.
  • Seager is 16th in home runs and 27th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Adolis Garcia leads the Rangers in home runs (39) and runs batted in (107).
  • Nate Lowe has 38 doubles, three triples, 17 home runs and 93 walks while hitting .262.

Rangers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Nate Lowe 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+155) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+235)
Corey Seager 1.5 (+170) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+300) 0.5 (+145)
Adolis García 0.5 (-179) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+330) 0.5 (+175)
Marcus Semien 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+205)
Jonah Heim 0.5 (-179) 0.5 (-189) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+220)
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