Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 21

Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 21

Updated May. 21, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Isaac Paredes and the Tampa Bay Rays will try to beat Jarren Duran and the Boston Red Sox when the teams square off on Tuesday at 6:50 PM ET. The Red Sox are +119 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the Rays (-139). Tampa Bay (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under for the contest has been set at 8.5 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Rays-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Red Sox vs. Rays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Boston Red Sox and the Tampa Bay Rays.
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Rays vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, May 21, 2024 at 6:50 PM ET
  • Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
  • How to Watch on TV: NESN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Rays -139 +119 8.5 -104 -117 -1.5 +149 -179

Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Rays 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Rays 51%, Red Sox 49%

Rays vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

  • This season, the Rays have won 14 out of the 30 games, or 46.7%, in which they've been favored.
  • Tampa Bay is 7-9 this season when entering a game favored by -139 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Rays have a 58.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Red Sox have been underdogs in 24 games this season and have come away with the win 11 times (45.8%) in those contests.
  • Boston has a mark of 3-5 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +119 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 45.7% chance of pulling out a win.
FINAL
BOS 5 · TB 2
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Boston Red Sox
BOS
Tampa Bay Rays
TB

Rays Recent Betting Performance

  • In the last 10 games, the Rays have been listed as the moneyline favorite by bookmakers just one time, a game they lost.
  • Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Rays combined with their opponents to go over the total four times.
  • The Rays have put together a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 10
ERA 4.15
K/9 7.6

Rays Player Insights

  • Not only does Paredes lead the Rays in hitting with his .303 average, he also is their premier power option with nine home runs and 26 RBI.
  • Paredes' home runs put him 22nd in the majors, and he ranks 40th in RBI.
  • Yandy Diaz has nine doubles, three home runs and 18 walks while batting .259.
  • Diaz is 168th in homers and 59th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Amed Rosario is batting .302 with six doubles, three triples, two home runs and three walks.
  • Rosario is on a four-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .318 with a double, a triple and five RBI.
  • Jose Caballero is hitting .257 with eight doubles, a triple, two home runs and 10 walks.

Rays Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Josh Lowe 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+225)
Brandon Lowe 0.5 (-189) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+165)
Amed Rosario 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+205)
Yandy Díaz 1.5 (+170) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+200)
Randy Arozarena 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+205)

Learn more about this Rays vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

  • The Red Sox have been underdogs twice in the last 10 games and split those matchups 1-1.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Red Sox and their opponents are 5-4-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Red Sox have won three of their last 10 games against the spread.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 14
ERA 3.66
K/9 9.7

Red Sox Player Insights

  • Duran has 13 doubles, eight triples, two home runs and 18 walks while batting .270.
  • In all of the big leagues, Duran ranks 216th in homers and 102nd in RBI.
  • Duran brings a hitting streak of six games into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .297 with five doubles, two triples, a home run, three walks and four RBI.
  • Rafael Devers has a club-high .284 batting average.
  • Devers is 14th among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and 59th in RBI.
  • Tyler O'Neill has 11 home runs, best in the lineup.
  • Wilyer Abreu is hitting .269 with 12 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 17 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Dominic Smith 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+215)
Tyler O'Neill 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+170)
Jarren Duran 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+185)
Rafael Devers 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+255) 0.5 (+120)
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+175)

Red Sox vs. Rays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Boston Red Sox and the Tampa Bay Rays.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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