Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 26

Updated Sep. 26, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

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The Tampa Bay Rays and Boston Red Sox will play on Tuesday at Fenway Park, at 7:10 PM ET, with Yandy Diaz and Rafael Devers among those expected to produce at the plate. The Red Sox are listed as -102 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favorite Rays (-117). Tampa Bay is a 1.5-run favorite (at +140 odds). The total is 8 runs for this matchup.

The Rays will start Zach Eflin (15-8) versus the Red Sox and Tanner Houck (5-9).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Rays-Red Sox game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Rays vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to Watch on TV: NESN

Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Rays 6, Red Sox 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Rays 51%, Red Sox 49%

Rays vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• The Rays have entered the game as favorites 127 times this season and won 83, or 65.4%, of those games.
• Tampa Bay has a record of 80-38, a 67.8% win rate, when favored by -117 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The Rays have a 53.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have won in 39, or 47.6%, of the 82 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Boston has been victorious 30 times in 69 chances when named as an underdog of at least -102 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 50.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays have a 4-4 record over the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Rays and their opponents combined to hit the over six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Rays have gone 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Diaz's .328 average leads the Rays this year. His resume also includes 21 homers and driven in 76 RBI.
• Among all MLB hitters, Diaz ranks fifth in batting average, fifth in on-base percentage, and 12th in slugging.
• Diaz has collected a hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .471 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and three RBI.
• Randy Arozarena is hitting .256 with 18 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 77 walks.
• Arozarena ranks 58th in home runs and 41st in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Isaac Paredes leads the Rays in home runs (30) and runs batted in (95).
• Josh Lowe is batting .284 with 29 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 29 walks.
• Lowe is riding a seven-game hitting streak into this one. During his last 10 games he is hitting .256 with three doubles, a home run, four walks and five RBI.

Rays Team Props

Learn more about this Rays vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Red Sox have a record of 1-6.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
• The Red Sox are 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Devers has a team-leading 33 home runs and has driven in 98 runs.
• Devers is 15th in homers and 13th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Justin Turner has 30 doubles, 23 home runs and 51 walks while batting .276.
• Turner is 58th in homers and 22nd in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Masataka Yoshida has put up a team-best batting average of .288.
• Alex Verdugo is batting .264 with 36 doubles, five triples, 13 home runs and 45 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

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