Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27

Updated Sep. 27, 2023 6:00 p.m. ET

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The Tampa Bay Rays and Boston Red Sox will meet on Wednesday at Fenway Park, at 6:10 PM ET, with Yandy Diaz and Rafael Devers among those expected to deliver at the plate. The Rays are favored in this one, at -135, while the underdog Red Sox have +115 odds to play spoiler. Tampa Bay is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +134 odds). The total is 7.5 runs for this contest (with -101 odds on the over and -119 odds to go under).

The Rays will start Tyler Glasnow (9-7) versus the Red Sox and Brayan Bello (12-10).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Rays-Red Sox game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Rays vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 6:10 PM ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to Watch on TV: NESN

Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Rays 5, Red Sox 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Rays 51%, Red Sox 49%

Rays vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• This season, the Rays have won 84 out of the 128 games, or 65.6%, in which they've been favored.
• Tampa Bay has entered 91 games this season favored by -135 or more and is 65-26 in those contests.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 57.4% chance of a victory for the Rays.
• The Red Sox have won in 39, or 47%, of the 83 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This year, Boston has won 24 of 42 games when listed as at least +115 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 46.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays have a 5-4 record from the nine games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Rays and their opponents combined to hit the over seven times.
• The Rays have gone 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Diaz's .328 average leads the Rays this year. His resume also includes 21 homers and driven in 76 RBI.
• Of all hitters in the majors, Diaz's home run total places him 76th, and his RBI tally puts him 62nd.
• Diaz has collected a hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .471 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and three RBI.
• Randy Arozarena has 18 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 77 walks while batting .256.
• Arozarena is 60th in home runs and 41st in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Isaac Paredes has put up a team-high 30 home runs and 95 runs batted in.
• Josh Lowe is batting .286 with 29 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 29 walks.
• Lowe is riding an eight-game hitting streak into this one. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .275 with three doubles, a home run, four walks and five RBI.

Rays Team Props

Learn more about this Rays vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Red Sox and their opponents are 3-7-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Red Sox are 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Devers leads the Red Sox with 33 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 98.
• In all of the majors, Devers is 16th in home runs and 15th in RBI.
• Justin Turner is hitting .275 with 30 doubles, 23 home runs and 51 walks.
• Turner ranks 60th in homers and 19th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Masataka Yoshida paces the Red Sox with a team-high batting average of .288.
• Alex Verdugo has 36 doubles, five triples, 13 home runs and 45 walks while hitting .264.

Red Sox Team Props

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