Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 29

Updated Sep. 29, 2024 3:01 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

Triston Casas and the Boston Red Sox take the field on Sunday at Fenway Park against Ryan Pepiot, who is starting for the Tampa Bay Rays. First pitch will be at 3:05 p.m. ET for the final game of a three-game series. Oddsmakers list the Rays as -115 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Red Sox -104 moneyline odds. Tampa Bay is a 1.5-run favorite (at +144 odds). The total for the matchup has been set at 8.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Rays-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Benches clear between Phillies and Rays after Nick Castellanos is HBP

Benches clear between Philadelphia Phillies and Tampa Bays Rays after Nick Castellanos is hit by pitch

Rays vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, September 29, 2024 at 3:05 p.m. ET
Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
How to Watch on TV: BSSUN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Rays	-115	-104	8.5	-105	-115	-1.5	+144	-175

Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction

Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Rays 5
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Rays 53%, Red Sox 47%

Rays vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

This season, the Rays have won 36 out of the 68 games, or 52.9%, in which they've been favored.
This season Tampa Bay has won 31 of its 55 games, or 56.4%, when favored by at least -115 on the moneyline.
The Rays have a 53.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Red Sox have won in 39, or 49.4%, of the 79 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This year, Boston has won 30 of 64 games when listed as at least -104 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 51% chance of walking away with the win.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

The Rays went 2-1 over the three games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups, the Rays and their opponents combined to go over the run total one time (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Rays have a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	2.5
HR	7
ERA	2.38
K/9	11.3

Rays Player Insights

Yandy Diaz paces the Rays in runs batted in (65) and has put up a team-best batting average of .281.
Diaz ranks 142nd in home runs and 86th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
Brandon Lowe's 21 home runs are a team-high mark.
Christopher Morel has hit a team-high 21 homers.
Jose Caballero has 24 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 27 walks while hitting .227.

Learn more about this Rays vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

In seven games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Red Sox had a record of 5-2.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Red Sox have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.5
HR	6
ERA	2.74
K/9	7.2

Red Sox Player Insights

Jarren Duran leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .285.
Among all batters in the majors, Duran ranks 64th in home runs and 52nd in RBI.
Tyler O'Neill's 31 home runs pace his team.
Among all MLB batters, O'Neill ranks 17th in homers and 103rd in RBI.
Ceddanne Rafaela has 23 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 15 walks while hitting .244.
Masataka Yoshida is batting .280 with 21 doubles, 10 home runs and 27 walks.