Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 4

Updated Sep. 4, 2023 4:00 p.m. ET

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Yandy Diaz and the Tampa Bay Rays head into the first of a three-game series against Alex Verdugo and the Boston Red Sox at Tropicana Field, Monday at 4:10 PM ET. The favored Rays have -123 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Red Sox, who are listed at +103. Tampa Bay is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +165 odds). The total is 8 runs for the game.

The Tampa Bay Rays will give the start to Aaron Civale (7-3, 2.64 ERA), who is looking for win No. 8 on the season, and the Red Sox will counter with Brayan Bello (10-8, 3.57 ERA).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Rays-Red Sox game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Rays vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, September 4, 2023 at 4:10 PM ET
• Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
• How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Rays 5, Red Sox 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Rays 57%, Red Sox 43%

Rays vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• This season, the Rays have been favored 112 times and won 73, or 65.2%, of those games.
• Tampa Bay has entered 100 games this season favored by -123 or more and is 69-31 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 55.2% chance of a victory for the Rays.
• The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 70 games this year and have walked away with the win 36 times (51.4%) in those games.
• This season, Boston has been victorious 26 times in 53 chances when named as an underdog of at least +103 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 49.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays have a 6-3 record across the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Rays and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times.
• The Rays' record against the spread is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Place your bets on Rays vs. Red Sox now with FOX Bet!

Rays Player Insights

• Diaz's .322 average leads the Rays this year. His resume also includes 18 homers and driven in 67 RBI.
• In all of MLB, Diaz is 85th in home runs and 60th in RBI.
• Diaz has collected a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .227 with a double, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
• Randy Arozarena is hitting .262 with 15 doubles, two triples, 21 home runs and 69 walks.
• Arozarena ranks 52nd in homers and 32nd in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
• Arozarena carries a seven-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .270 with two doubles, two home runs, six walks and seven RBI.
• Isaac Paredes leads the Rays with 27 home runs and 85 runs batted in.
• Paredes will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .167 with a home run and five RBI.
• Josh Lowe has 23 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 24 walks while batting .284.
• Lowe has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .375 with a home run, a walk and two RBI.

Rays Team Props

Learn more about this Rays vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Red Sox have a record of 2-3.
• The Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over eight times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Red Sox have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Justin Turner is hitting .285 with 27 doubles, 22 home runs and 45 walks.
• Turner is 41st in homers and 13th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Rafael Devers been a consistent power bat this season, as he paces his team with 29 home runs and 91 RBI.
• Devers ranks 16th overall in homers and seventh in RBI this year.
• Masataka Yoshida has put up a team-best batting average of .296.
• Verdugo is hitting .276 with 34 doubles, five triples, 13 home runs and 42 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Rays vs Red Sox!

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