Rays vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 15

Updated Jul. 15, 2023 2:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Isaac Paredes and the Tampa Bay Rays head into the first of a three-game series against Maikel Garcia and the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium, Saturday at 2:10 PM ET. The Rays are -222 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Royals (+184). Tampa Bay is a 1.5-run favorite (at -137 odds). The over/under is 9.5 runs for the matchup (with -114 odds to go over and -106 odds to go under).

The Tampa Bay Rays will hand the ball to Tyler Glasnow (2-3, 4.10 ERA), who is looking for win No. 3 on the season, and the Royals will turn to Alec Marsh (0-2, 7.00 ERA).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Rays-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Rays vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, July 15, 2023 at 2:10 PM ET
Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
How to Watch on TV: BSKC

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Rays	-222	+184	9.5	-114	-106	-1.5	-137	+115

Rays vs. Royals Prediction

Score Prediction: Rays 6, Royals 5
Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities:

Rays vs. Royals Betting Insights

The Rays have been favorites in 77 games this season and won 52 (67.5%) of those contests.
Tampa Bay is 12-3 this season when entering a game favored by -222 or more on the moneyline.
The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 68.9% chance of a victory for the Rays.
The Royals have been victorious in 23, or 29.9%, of the 77 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This season, Kansas City has been victorious six times in 18 chances when named as an underdog of at least +184 or longer on the moneyline.
The Royals have an implied victory probability of 35.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

The Rays were the moneyline favorite for six of their last 10 games, and they finished 2-4 in those matchups.
In their last 10 matchups, the Rays and their opponents combined to go over the total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Rays have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	4.8
HR	13
ERA	4.20
K/9	10.1

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Rays Player Insights

Wander Franco is hitting .278 with 21 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 30 walks.
Among all MLB hitters, Franco ranks 31st in batting average, 57th in on-base percentage, and 53rd in slugging.
Randy Arozarena has hit 16 home runs with 58 runs batted in. Both pace his team.
Arozarena is 30th in homers in MLB, and 15th in RBI.
Paredes has a team-high 16 home runs.
Josh Lowe has 17 doubles, 12 home runs and 16 walks while hitting .276.

Rays Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Josh Lowe	1.5 (+205)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+175)
Brandon Lowe	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+140)
Harold Ramirez	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+155)
Randy Arozarena	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+120)
Luke Raley	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+360)	0.5 (+130)

Learn more about this Rays vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

The Royals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
The Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Royals have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.6
HR	5
ERA	5.57
K/9	7.1

Royals Player Insights

The Royals are led in runs batted in by Bobby Witt Jr. with a mark of 47, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .257.
Witt Jr. is 50th in home runs and 52nd in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Witt Jr. carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .300 with two doubles, a triple, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
Salvador Perez has collected a team-high 15 home runs.
Perez is 40th among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 91st in RBI.
Garcia is hitting .284 with 11 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 19 walks.
MJ Melendez is hitting .206 with 17 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 35 walks.

Royals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Maikel Garcia	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+160)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+255)
Drew Waters	0.5 (-125)	0.5 (-125)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+320)
Nick Pratto	0.5 (-105)	0.5 (+105)	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+350)
Kyle Isbel	0.5 (-175)	0.5 (-175)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+210)
Bobby Witt Jr.	0.5 (-204)	0.5 (-204)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+215)

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