Rays vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 16

Rays vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 16

Updated Jul. 16, 2023 1:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Tampa Bay Rays will send a hot-hitting Isaac Paredes to the plate against the Kansas City Royals and Bobby Witt Jr., who has been on a tear as of late, when the teams square off on Sunday at 2:10 PM ET. Oddsmakers list the Rays as -215 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Royals +179 moneyline odds. Tampa Bay is favored on the run line (-1.5 with -131 odds). The total is 9.5 runs for the matchup (with -117 odds on the over and -103 odds to go under).

The Tampa Bay Rays will hand the ball to Zach Eflin (10-4, 3.25 ERA), who is looking for win No. 11 on the season, and the Royals will counter with Brady Singer (5-8, 5.80 ERA).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Rays-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Rays vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Sunday, July 16, 2023 at 2:10 PM ET
  • Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
  • How to Watch on TV: BSKC
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Rays -215 +179 9.5 -117 -103 -1.5 -131 +109

Rays vs. Royals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Rays 6, Royals 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities:

Rays vs. Royals Betting Insights

  • The Rays have entered the game as favorites 79 times this season and won 54, or 68.4%, of those games.
  • This season Tampa Bay has won 13 of its 16 games, or 81.2%, when favored by at least -215 on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 68.3% chance to win.
  • The Royals have won in 23, or 29.1%, of the 79 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, Kansas City has been victorious seven times in 24 chances when named as an underdog of at least +179 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Royals have a 35.8% chance of pulling out a win.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

  • The Rays were favored on the moneyline in seven of their last 10 games, and they went 3-4 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Rays and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
  • The Rays have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 12
ERA 4.00
K/9 10.2

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Rays Player Insights

  • Wander Franco has 22 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 33 walks while hitting .278.
  • Including all MLB hitters, Franco is 32nd in batting average, 51st in on-base percentage, and 54th in slugging.
  • Franco takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .167 with a double, a home run, four walks and an RBI.
  • Randy Arozarena's 59 runs batted in pace his team.
  • Arozarena ranks 32nd in homers and 15th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • Paredes has 14 doubles, 16 home runs and 33 walks while hitting .261.
  • Josh Lowe is batting .276 with 17 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 16 walks.

Rays Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Manuel Margot 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+155) 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+210)
Josh Lowe 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+130)
Brandon Lowe 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+360) 0.5 (+150)
Luke Raley 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+125)
Jonathan Aranda 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+170)

Learn more about this Rays vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

  • In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Royals have a record of 2-8.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
  • The Royals are 2-8-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 3
HR 6
ERA 5.36
K/9 7.8

Royals Player Insights

  • Witt Jr. leads the lineup with a batting average of .257, and paces the Royals in home runs, with 15 and runs batted in with 48.
  • Witt Jr.'s home run total puts him 41st in MLB, and he is 52nd in RBI.
  • Witt Jr. carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is batting .333 with four doubles, a triple, three home runs, two walks and eight RBI.
  • Salvador Perez has shown off his power as he leads his team with 15 home runs.
  • Perez is 41st overall in homers and 93rd in RBI this season.
  • Maikel Garcia has 11 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 19 walks while hitting .275.
  • MJ Melendez has 17 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 35 walks while batting .207.

Royals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Maikel Garcia 0.5 (-286) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+230)
Salvador Pérez 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+145)
Bobby Witt Jr. 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+205)
Michael Massey 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+230)
Nick Pratto 0.5 (-115) 0.5 (-115) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+275)

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