Rays vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 3

Updated Jul. 3, 2024 8:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Tampa Bay Rays and Kansas City Royals will play on Wednesday at Kauffman Stadium, at 8:10 PM ET, with Isaac Paredes and Vinnie Pasquantino among those expected to step up at the plate. The Rays are the favorite in this one, at -111, while the underdog Royals have -109 odds to upset. Tampa Bay is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +153 odds). The total is 8 runs for the matchup (with -110 odds to go over and -110 odds to go under).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Rays-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mariners vs. Royals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the highlights as the Seattle Mariners took on the Kansas City Royals in this regular season matchup.

Rays vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, July 3, 2024 at 8:10 PM ET
Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
How to Watch on TV: BSKC

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Rays	-111	-109	8	-110	-110	-1.5	+153	-184

Rays vs. Royals Prediction

Score Prediction: Royals 5, Rays 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Rays 56%, Royals 44%

Rays vs. Royals Betting Insights

The Rays have entered the game as favorites 46 times this season and won 24, or 52.2%, of those games.
Tampa Bay has entered 45 games this season favored by -111 or more and is 24-21 in those contests.
The implied probability of a win from the Rays, based on the moneyline, is 52.6%.
The Royals have been chosen as underdogs in 51 games this year and have walked away with the win 23 times (45.1%) in those games.
This year, Kansas City has won 23 of 50 games when listed as at least -109 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 52.2% chance of walking away with the win.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

The Rays went 4-1 across the five games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Rays combined with their opponents to go over the run total three times.
The Rays have a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	4.7
HR	14
ERA	2.83
K/9	9.3

Rays Player Insights

Not only does Paredes lead the Rays in hitting with his .276 average, he also is their premier power option with 13 home runs and 45 RBI.
Among all MLB batters, Paredes is 37th in batting average, 19th in on-base percentage, and 29th in slugging.
Paredes brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .278 with two doubles, a triple, a home run, two walks and four RBI.
Yandy Diaz has 16 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 27 walks while hitting .270.
Diaz is 144th in home runs in the majors, and 60th in RBI.
Diaz enters this matchup looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .238 with a double and an RBI.
Randy Arozarena is batting .196 with 12 doubles, 11 home runs and 38 walks.
Arozarena has at least one base hit in four straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with a home run, two walks and an RBI.
Jose Caballero has 12 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 16 walks while hitting .246.
Caballero has recorded at least one hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .353 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and two RBI.

Rays Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Amed Rosario	1.5 (+160)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+175)
Jose Caballero	0.5 (-195)	0.5 (-195)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+200)
Alex Jackson	0.5 (-110)	0.5 (-110)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+240)

Learn more about this Rays vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

In four games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Royals had a record of 1-3.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Royals and their opponents are 2-8-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Royals have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.1
HR	11
ERA	3.07
K/9	9.6

Royals Player Insights

The Royals are led in runs batted in by Bobby Witt Jr. with a mark of 55, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .311.
Among all hitters in the majors, Witt's home run total ranks 38th and his RBI tally ranks 13th.
Pasquantino has been productive as he paces his team with 55 runs batted in.
Pasquantino ranks 79th overall in homers and 13th in RBI this year.
Maikel Garcia is batting .229 with 15 doubles, four triples, five home runs and 26 walks.
Salvador Perez has swatted a team-high 14 home runs.