Rays vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 4

Updated Jul. 4, 2024 8:00 p.m. ET

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The Tampa Bay Rays and Yandy Diaz head into the final of a three-game series against Vinnie Pasquantino and the Kansas City Royals on Thursday at Kauffman Stadium. The Rays are the favorite in this one, at -113, while the underdog Royals have -106 odds to play spoiler. Tampa Bay is a 1.5-run favorite (at +142 odds). The over/under is 8.5 runs for this game.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Rays-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Rays vs. Royals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Kansas City Royals on Wednesday, July 3.

Rays vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 8:10 PM ET
• Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
• How to Watch on TV: BSSUN

Rays vs. Royals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Royals 5, Rays 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Rays 57%, Royals 43%

Rays vs. Royals Betting Insights

• The Rays have entered the game as favorites 47 times this season and won 24, or 51.1%, of those games.
• Tampa Bay has a record of 23-18, a 56.1% win rate, when favored by -113 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.1% chance of a victory for the Rays.
• The Royals have been chosen as underdogs in 52 games this year and have walked away with the win 24 times (46.2%) in those games.
• This season, Kansas City has been victorious 21 times in 48 chances when named as an underdog of at least -106 or worse on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Royals have a 51.5% chance of pulling out a win.

FINAL

TB 10 · KC 8

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Tampa Bay Rays

TB

-1.5

-111

O 8.5

Kansas City Royals

KC

+1.5

-108

U 8.5

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays have a 3-2 record from the five games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Rays and their opponents combined to go over the run total two times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Rays are 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Isaac Paredes paces the Rays with 14 home runs and 46 runs batted in, while putting up a team-high batting average of .276.
• Paredes ranks 33rd in home runs and 39th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Paredes brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with two doubles, a triple, two home runs, four walks and five RBI.
• Yandy Diaz is hitting .267 with 16 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 28 walks.
• Diaz is 147th in home runs and 63rd in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Randy Arozarena is batting .197 with 13 doubles, 11 home runs and 38 walks.
• Arozarena is on a five-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with a double, a home run, a walk and an RBI.
• Jose Caballero has 12 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 16 walks while batting .243.

Rays Team Props

Learn more about this Rays vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

• The Royals have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents are 2-8-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• Over their last 10 games, the Royals are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Royals Recent Stats

Royals Player Insights

• Bobby Witt Jr. has put up a team-high batting average of .314 while leading the Royals in runs batted in with a mark of 56.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Witt ranks 42nd in homers and 12th in RBI.
• Witt has collected a hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is batting .389 with a double, a triple, a home run, three walks and three RBI.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has driven in the most runs for the Royals with 56 runs batted in.
• Pasquantino ranks 86th among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 12th in RBI.
• Maikel Garcia is hitting .227 with 15 doubles, four triples, five home runs and 27 walks.
• Salvador Perez has swatted a team-high 14 home runs.

Royals Team Props

Rays vs. Royals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Kansas City Royals on Wednesday, July 3.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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