Rays vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 11

Updated Sep. 11, 2023 7:05 p.m. ET

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Max Kepler and the Minnesota Twins will hit the field against the Tampa Bay Rays and starter Tyler Glasnow on Monday. First pitch is at 7:40 PM ET at Target Field. The Twins have been listed as +101 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favored Rays (-121). Tampa Bay is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +141 odds). The total for the contest has been set at 7.5 runs.

The Tampa Bay Rays will give the start to Glasnow (8-5, 3.07 ERA), who is looking for win No. 9 on the season, and the Twins will turn to Sonny Gray (7-6, 2.93 ERA).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Rays-Twins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Rays vs. Twins Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, September 11, 2023 at 7:40 PM ET
• Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• How to Watch on TV: BSN

Rays vs. Twins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Rays 5, Twins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Rays 50%, Twins 50%

Rays vs. Twins Betting Insights

• The Rays have entered the game as favorites 117 times this season and won 77, or 65.8%, of those games.
• Tampa Bay has a record of 73-33, a 68.9% win rate, when favored by -121 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Rays, based on the moneyline, is 54.8%.
• The Twins have come away with 19 wins in the 47 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Minnesota has a mark of 16-19 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +101 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 49.8% chance of pulling out a win.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays played as the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and they finished 5-3 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Rays and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times.
• The Rays have a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Place your bets on Rays vs. Twins now with FOX Bet!

Rays Player Insights

• The Rays best hitter so far this season is Yandy Diaz, who's hitting at a team-leading .320 clip along with 19 homers and 70 RBI.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Diaz ranks 82nd in homers and 62nd in RBI.
• Diaz brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .267 with a double, a home run, three walks and three RBI.
• Randy Arozarena is hitting .256 with 16 doubles, two triples, 21 home runs and 74 walks.
• Arozarena ranks 61st in home runs in MLB, and 36th in RBI.
• Isaac Paredes paces the Rays with 29 home runs and 89 runs batted in.
• Paredes will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .357 with a double, two home runs, three walks and four RBI.
• Josh Lowe is hitting .283 with 26 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 25 walks.

Rays Team Props

Learn more about this Rays vs. Twins matchup on Fox Sports.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Twins and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
• The Twins have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Carlos Correa paces the Twins with 63 runs batted in while putting up a team-best batting average of .230.
• Correa's home run total places him 93rd in MLB, and he ranks 90th in RBI.
• Kepler has collected a team-high 21 home runs.
• Kepler ranks 61st in homers and 117th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Willi Castro is batting .258 with 17 doubles, four triples, six home runs and 27 walks.
• Donovan Solano has 25 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 38 walks while hitting .292.

Twins Team Props

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Rays vs Twins!

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