Red Sox vs. Astros Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 28

Updated Aug. 28, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Cristian Javier will try to shut down Rafael Devers and the Boston Red Sox when they take on his Houston Astros on Monday at 7:10 PM ET. The Red Sox are the favorite in this one, at -134, while the underdog Astros have +113 odds to play spoiler. Boston is a 1.5-run favorite (at +144 odds). The matchup's over/under has been set at 10 runs.

The Red Sox will start Chris Sale (5-3) versus the Astros and Javier (9-2).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Astros game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Red Sox vs. Astros Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, August 28, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
How to Watch on TV: NESN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox	-134	+113	10	-114	-106	-1.5	+144	-172

Red Sox vs. Astros Prediction

Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Astros 4
Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
Win Probabilities: Red Sox 52%, Astros 48%

Red Sox vs. Astros Betting Insights

This season, the Red Sox have won 33 out of the 61 games, or 54.1%, in which they've been favored.
This season Boston has won 17 of its 33 games, or 51.5%, when favored by at least -134 on the moneyline.
The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 57.3% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
The Astros have been victorious in 20, or 58.8%, of the 34 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
Houston has a win-loss record of 9-9 when favored by +113 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Astros have a 46.9% chance of walking away with the win.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

The Red Sox were named the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers only once over the last 10 games, and won that matchup.
Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Red Sox combined with their opponents to go over the run total each time.
The Red Sox's record against the spread is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	6.9
HR	20
ERA	4.45
K/9	10.2

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Red Sox Player Insights

Devers is the Red Sox best power hitter, crushing 29 long balls this season in addition to collecting 88 RBI, both team highs.
Among all hitters in MLB, Devers' home run total ranks him 11th, and his RBI tally ranks him eighth.
Justin Turner has 27 doubles, 22 home runs and 44 walks while batting .290.
Turner ranks 34th in home runs and 13th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Turner heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .313 with a double, two home runs, three walks and four RBI.
Masataka Yoshida leads the Red Sox with a .293 batting average.
Alex Verdugo is batting .278 with 33 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 41 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Justin Turner	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+130)
Adam Duvall	0.5 (-185)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+270)	0.5 (+115)
Rafael Devers	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (-120)	0.5 (+320)	0.5 (+125)
Alex Verdugo	1.5 (+155)	1.5 (-115)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+175)
Triston Casas	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+155)

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Astros matchup on Fox Sports.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

The Astros are not favored for the first time in a while, as they have not been underdogs in their last 10 games.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Astros and their opponents are 8-2-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Astros have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	5.8
HR	13
ERA	5.89
K/9	10.5

Astros Player Insights

Kyle Tucker leads the Astros with 26 home runs and 97 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .292.
In all of the majors, Tucker ranks 18th in home runs and second in RBI.
Alex Bregman is hitting .261 with 22 doubles, three triples, 21 home runs and 76 walks.
Bregman ranks 41st in home runs and ninth in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
Yordan Alvarez has 15 doubles, a triple, 21 home runs and 47 walks while batting .275.
Jeremy Pena is batting .260 with 24 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 35 walks.

Astros Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Kyle Tucker	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+145)
Yainer Diaz	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+170)
Jose Altuve	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+190)
Yordan Alvarez	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+150)
José Abreu	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+165)