Red Sox vs. Cubs Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 28

Updated Apr. 28, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Boston Red Sox and Chicago Cubs will send Tanner Houck and Hayden Wesneski, respectively, out to start when the two clubs face off on Sunday at Fenway Park, at 7:10 PM ET. The favored Red Sox have -147 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Cubs, who are listed at +124. Boston (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under is 9.5 runs for the game (with -102 odds to hit the over and -119 odds on the under).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Cubs game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Cubs vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best plays and moments from the Boston Red Sox's 17-0 Chicago Cubs.

Red Sox vs. Cubs Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, April 28, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
How to Watch on TV: ESPN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox	-147	+124	9.5	-102	-119	-1.5	+137	-161

Red Sox vs. Cubs Prediction

Score Prediction: Red Sox 4, Cubs 3
Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Red Sox 57%, Cubs 43%

Red Sox vs. Cubs Betting Insights

This season, the Red Sox have won seven out of the 11 games, or 63.6%, in which they've been favored.
Boston has a record of 3-1 when favored by -147 or more by sportsbooks this season.
The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 59.5%.
The Cubs have been chosen as underdogs in 17 games this year and have walked away with the win 10 times (58.8%) in those games.
This year, Chicago has won two of four games when listed as at least +124 or worse on the moneyline.
The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 44.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

The Red Sox have been named the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers only once in the last 10 games, and won that matchup.
In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Red Sox combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total five times.
The Red Sox have gone 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.5
HR	13
ERA	2.15
K/9	7

Red Sox Player Insights

Tyler O'Neill leads the Red Sox with nine home runs.
O'Neill has collected a hit in six games in a row. In his last 10 games he is hitting .316 with a double, four home runs, five walks and six RBI.
Jarren Duran has six doubles, two triples, a home run and 10 walks while hitting .252.
Duran is 209th in home runs in the majors, and 114th in RBI.
Wilyer Abreu has seven doubles, two home runs and nine walks while hitting .309.
Masataka Yoshida has a club-leading .282 batting average.

Red Sox Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Masataka Yoshida	1.5 (+205)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+155)
Enmanuel Valdez	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+145)
Tyler O'Neill	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+360)	0.5 (+130)
Jarren Duran	1.5 (+120)	1.5 (-145)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+150)
Rafael Devers	1.5 (+155)	1.5 (-145)	0.5 (+215)	0.5 (-110)

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Cubs matchup on Fox Sports.

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

The Cubs have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won each of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Cubs and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
The Cubs have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Cubs Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	4.4
HR	8
ERA	3.94
K/9	7.4

Cubs Player Insights

Nico Hoerner is hitting .273 with seven doubles, a triple and 10 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .354.
Among all hitters in the majors, Hoerner is 311th in home runs and 205th in RBI.
Christopher Morel is hitting .219 with three doubles, a triple, three home runs and 11 walks.
Morel is currently 81st in home runs and 94th in RBI in the major leagues.
Michael Busch leads the Cubs in long balls (six), runs batted in (17) and has generated a team-high batting average of .287.
Mike Tauchman is batting .281 with five doubles, two home runs and 15 walks.

Cubs Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Dansby Swanson	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+180)
Nico Hoerner	1.5 (+155)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+215)
Christopher Morel	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (+125)
Michael Busch	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+160)
Mike Tauchman	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+190)