Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 23

Updated Aug. 23, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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Brayan Bello and Ryne Nelson are the projected starters when the Boston Red Sox and Arizona Diamondbacks face off on Friday at Fenway Park. The Red Sox are the favorite in this one, at -128, while the underdog Diamondbacks have +107 odds to upset. Boston is favored on the run line (-1.5). A 9.5-run over/under is set in the game.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Diamondbacks game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Seattle Mariners on Wednesday, August 21.

Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, August 23, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Diamondbacks 5
• Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 51%, Diamondbacks 49%

Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

• The Red Sox have entered the game as favorites 59 times this season and won 33, or 55.9%, of those games.
• Boston has a record of 25-15 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -128 on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 56.1% chance to win.
• The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in 61 games this season and have come away with the win 29 times (47.5%) in those contests.
• This season, Arizona has been victorious 19 times in 38 chances when named as an underdog of at least +107 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 48.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

AZ 12 · BOS 2

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Arizona Diamondbacks

AZ

+1.5

+105

O 9.5

Boston Red Sox

BOS

-1.5

-128

U 9.5

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have a 2-1 record over the three games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Red Sox's record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran is hitting .293 with 39 doubles, 13 triples, 17 home runs and 46 walks.
• Of all hitters in the majors, Duran's home run total places him 72nd, and his RBI tally ranks him 42nd.
• Duran carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with two doubles, two home runs, three walks and five RBI.
• Rafael Devers has hit 27 home runs with 77 runs batted in while hitting .294. Those stats are all team-highs.
• Devers is 12th in home runs and 21st in RBI in the major leagues.
• Ceddanne Rafaela is hitting .264 with 19 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 15 walks.
• Rafaela is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with three doubles and three RBI.
• Tyler O'Neill has 16 doubles, 22 home runs and 40 walks while batting .262.

Red Sox Team Props

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• The Diamondbacks have been underdogs once in the past 10 games and won that contest.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have failed to hit the over three times.
• Over their last 10 games, the Diamondbacks are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Corbin Carroll is batting .222 with 16 doubles, 11 triples, 14 home runs and 55 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .310.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Carroll ranks 104th in homers and 92nd in RBI.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is hitting .274 with 19 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 22 walks.
• Gurriel ranks 92nd in homers and 41st in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Joc Pederson has 15 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 47 walks while batting .292.
• Josh Bell is batting .237 with 22 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 42 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

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Check out the best moments between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Seattle Mariners on Wednesday, August 21.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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