Red Sox vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 15

Updated Apr. 15, 2024 11:01 a.m. ET

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The Cleveland Guardians and Josh Naylor hit the field in the first game of a four-game series against Triston Casas and the Boston Red Sox on Monday at Fenway Park. The Guardians are +127 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the Red Sox (-152). Boston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 9.5 runs for the game (with -112 odds to go over and -108 odds to go under).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays in this matchup between the New York Yankees and the Cleveland Guardians.

Red Sox vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, April 15, 2024 at 11:10 AM ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to Watch on TV: BSGL

Red Sox vs. Guardians Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Guardians 5
• Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 50%, Guardians 50%

Red Sox vs. Guardians Betting Insights

• This season, the Red Sox have been favored eight times and won six of those games.
• Boston has been at least -152 moneyline favorites three times this season and won each of those games.
• The Red Sox have a 60.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Guardians have been victorious in five of the six contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Cleveland has not lost in three games this year when given odds of +127 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 44.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

FINAL

CLE 6 · BOS 0

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Cleveland Guardians

CLE

+1.5

+135

O 9.5

Boston Red Sox

BOS

-1.5

-161

U 9.5

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox were favored on the moneyline in six of their last 10 games, and they went 4-2 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Red Sox have a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Tyler O'Neill paces the Red Sox in home runs (seven), runs batted in (eight) and has put up a team-best batting average of .304.
• O'Neill ranks first in home runs and 72nd in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Casas has racked up eight runs batted in to pace his team.
• Casas is 13th in home runs and 72nd in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Casas enters this matchup looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .294 with a double, three home runs, three walks and five RBI.
• Jarren Duran is hitting .303 with three doubles, a home run and five walks.
• Masataka Yoshida has racked up eight runs batted in to lead his team.
• Yoshida takes a five-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with a home run, a walk and five RBI.

Red Sox Team Props

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• The Guardians have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents are 5-4-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Guardians have six wins against the spread in their last nine chances.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• Naylor has posted a team-leading four home runs and has driven in 12 runs.
• In all of the majors, Naylor ranks 13th in home runs and 22nd in RBI.
• Jose Ramirez has racked up 12 runs batted in to lead his team.
• Ramirez ranks 32nd in home runs and 22nd in RBI among all major league batters this year.
• Steven Kwan leads the Guardians' lineup with a .368 batting average.
• Andres Gimenez is hitting .293 with five doubles, a triple and three walks.

Guardians Team Props

New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays in this matchup between the New York Yankees and the Cleveland Guardians.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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