Red Sox vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 18

Updated Apr. 18, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Tyler O'Neill and the Boston Red Sox will aim to outdo Jose Ramirez and the Cleveland Guardians at Fenway Park on Thursday at 1:35 PM ET. The Red Sox have been listed as -110 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Guardians (-110). Cleveland is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +151 odds). The total is 8.5 runs for the matchup.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Red Sox vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, April 18, 2024 at 1:35 PM ET
Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
How to Watch on TV: NESN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
PUSH	-110	-110	8.5	-114	-105	-1.5	-182	+151

Red Sox vs. Guardians Prediction

Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Red Sox 4
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Red Sox 51%, Guardians 49%

Red Sox vs. Guardians Betting Insights

This season, the Red Sox have been favored 11 times and won seven, or 63.6%, of those games.
Boston has a record of 7-4 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -110 on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 52.4%.
The Guardians have been underdogs in nine games this season and have come away with the win seven times (77.8%) in those contests.
This season, Cleveland has been victorious seven times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least -110 or longer on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 52.4% chance of walking away with the win.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

The Red Sox were the moneyline favorite in seven of their last 10 games, and they went 3-4 in those matchups.
In their last 10 outings, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Red Sox's record against the spread is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.3
HR	15
ERA	3.87
K/9	8.3

Red Sox Player Insights

O'Neill has accumulated a team-high batting average of .313, while pacing the Red Sox in home runs (seven).
O'Neill's home runs place him third in MLB, and he is 92nd in RBI.
O'Neill has collected a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with a home run, four walks and two RBI.
Triston Casas has totaled nine runs batted in to pace his team.
Casas ranks ninth in homers in baseball, and 79th in RBI.
Jarren Duran is hitting .304 with five doubles, a home run and six walks.
Duran has at least one base hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .211 with two doubles, three walks and an RBI.
Masataka Yoshida is hitting .215 with two doubles, a home run and five walks.

Red Sox Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Connor Wong	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+155)
Triston Casas	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+140)
Masataka Yoshida	1.5 (+200)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+145)
Enmanuel Valdez	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+130)
Tyler O'Neill	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+135)

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

The Guardians have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
The Guardians have a record of 5-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.7
HR	13
ERA	3.58
K/9	8.1

Guardians Player Insights

Josh Naylor leads the Guardians with four home runs.
Naylor is 25th in home runs and 36th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
Naylor has collected a hit in five games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with a double, a home run and three RBI.
Ramirez has been productive as he paces his team with 15 RBI.
Ramirez is currently 45th in home runs and 12th in RBI in the big leagues.
Steven Kwan leads the Guardians' lineup with a .354 batting average.
Andres Gimenez is hitting .271 with five doubles, a triple and four walks.

Guardians Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Steven Kwan	1.5 (+145)	1.5 (-105)	-	0.5 (+230)
Andrés Giménez	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+1100)	0.5 (+235)
Josh Naylor	0.5 (-286)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+135)
Tyler Freeman	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+155)	0.5 (+1200)	0.5 (+215)
David Fry	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+210)