Red Sox vs. Mariners Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 29

Red Sox vs. Mariners Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 29

Updated Jul. 29, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

Rafael Devers and Randy Arozarena will be among the star attractions when the Boston Red Sox play the Seattle Mariners on Monday at 7:10 PM ET, at Fenway Park. The Mariners are listed as +103 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favored Red Sox (-122). Boston (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The total for the game is set at 8.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Mariners game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Red Sox vs. Mariners Game Information & Odds

  • When: Monday, July 29, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
  • Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
  • How to Watch on TV: ROOT Sports NW
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox -122 +103 8.5 -109 -111 -1.5 +163 -198

Red Sox vs. Mariners Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Mariners 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Red Sox 53%, Mariners 47%

Red Sox vs. Mariners Betting Insights

  • This season, the Red Sox have won 30 out of the 53 games, or 56.6%, in which they've been favored.
  • Boston has a record of 24-15, a 61.5% win rate, when favored by -122 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 55%.
  • The Mariners have been chosen as underdogs in 36 games this year and have walked away with the win 17 times (47.2%) in those games.
  • This year, Seattle has won 13 of 24 games when listed as at least +103 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 49.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
FINAL
SEA 7 ยท BOS 14
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Seattle Mariners
SEA
Boston Red Sox
BOS

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

  • The Red Sox have a 2-3 record from the five games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the run total seven times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Red Sox are 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 5.8
HR 17
ERA 6.51
K/9 7.6

Red Sox Player Insights

  • Jarren Duran is batting .289 with 31 doubles, 12 triples, 13 home runs and 38 walks.
  • Duran is 78th in home runs and 51st in RBI among all batters in the majors.
  • Devers has shown his power as he paces his team with 23 home runs and 64 runs batted in, with a team-high .297 batting average.
  • Devers is 10th in homers and 22nd in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
  • Devers heads into this matchup looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .526 with four doubles, a triple, three walks and two RBI.
  • Tyler O'Neill has 15 doubles, 22 home runs and 36 walks while batting .271.
  • Ceddanne Rafaela is hitting .251 with 16 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 12 walks.
  • Rafaela is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .227 with a home run and two RBI.

Red Sox Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 (-190) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+165)
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+205)
Jarren Duran 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (-120) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+160)
Danny Jansen 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+190)
Tyler O'Neill 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+175)

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Mariners matchup on Fox Sports.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mariners are not favored for the first time in a while, as they have not been underdogs in their last 10 games.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Mariners and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Mariners are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Mariners Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.5
HR 13
ERA 2.33
K/9 9.7

Mariners Player Insights

  • Cal Raleigh has managed a team-leading 22 home runs and has driven in 66 runs.
  • Raleigh's home run total places him 13th in the big leagues, and he ranks 20th in RBI.
  • Raleigh brings a hitting streak of four games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .300 with a double, two home runs, two walks and four RBI.
  • Arozarena is hitting .215 with 19 doubles, 15 home runs and 47 walks.
  • Among all MLB batters, Arozarena ranks 51st in homers and 133rd in RBI.
  • Dylan Moore has 15 doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 31 walks while batting .206.
  • Josh Rojas has 16 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 34 walks while batting .235.

Mariners Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Randy Arozarena 0.5 () 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+165)
Cal Raleigh 0.5 (-190) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+320) 0.5 (+150)
Victor Robles 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+250)
Jason Vosler 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+235)
Josh Rojas 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+290)

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