Red Sox vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 2

Updated Jul. 2, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Jazz Chisholm and the Miami Marlins take the field on Tuesday at LoanDepot park against Kutter Crawford, who is projected to start for the Boston Red Sox. First pitch is at 6:40 PM ET for the first game of a three-game series. The Red Sox are the favorite in this one, at -163, while the underdog Marlins have +137 odds to upset. Boston is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +102 odds). The total for the game is listed at 8 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Red Sox vs. Cardinals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals game on Friday, May 17.

Red Sox vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, July 2, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox	-163	+137	8	-114	-106	-1.5	+102	-122

Red Sox vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Marlins 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Red Sox 52%, Marlins 48%

Red Sox vs. Marlins Betting Insights

The Red Sox have been favorites in 41 games this season and won 22 (53.7%) of those contests.
Boston is 5-2 this season when entering a game favored by -163 or more on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 62% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 70 games this year and have walked away with the win 27 times (38.6%) in those games.
This season, Miami has come away with a win 10 times in 31 chances when named as an underdog of at least +137 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 42.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

The Red Sox went 4-4 across the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Red Sox combined with their opponents to go over the total six times.
The Red Sox have gone 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.2
HR	16
ERA	4.85
K/9	8.1

Red Sox Player Insights

Jarren Duran is the Red Sox best hitter thus far this season, hitting at a team-leading .288 rate along with nine homers and 39 RBI.
Of all hitters in MLB, Duran is 96th in home runs and 65th in RBI.
Duran carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .286 with a double, two home runs, a walk and three RBI.
Rafael Devers has hit 18 home runs with 45 runs batted in. Both lead his team.
Devers ranks 11th in home runs and 34th in RBI on the year.
Tyler O'Neill has 10 doubles, 16 home runs and 29 walks while hitting .252.
Ceddanne Rafaela is hitting .240 with 13 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 10 walks.

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

The Marlins have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
Over their last 10 games, the Marlins are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	2.9
HR	7
ERA	3.72
K/9	8.8

Marlins Player Insights

Chisholm leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .259.
Among all hitters in the big leagues, Chisholm's home run total ranks 75th and his RBI tally is 65th.
Bryan De La Cruz has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 15 home runs and 40 runs batted in.
De La Cruz is 22nd overall in home runs and 57th in RBI this season.
Josh Bell is batting .242 with 15 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 24 walks.
Nick Gordon has nine doubles, a triple, eight home runs and seven walks while batting .232.