Red Sox vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 3

Updated Jul. 3, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Jarren Duran and the Boston Red Sox square off against Emmanuel Rivera and the Miami Marlins on Wednesday at 6:40 PM ET. The Marlins are +109 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favored Red Sox (-129). Boston is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total is 8 runs for this contest (with -104 odds to go over and -116 odds on the under).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Red Sox vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Boston Red Sox and the Miami Marlins on Tuesday, July 2.

Red Sox vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, July 3, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox	-129	+109	8	-104	-116	-1.5	+128	-152

Red Sox vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Marlins 5
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Red Sox 52%, Marlins 48%

Red Sox vs. Marlins Betting Insights

This season, the Red Sox have been favored 42 times and won 23, or 54.8%, of those games.
Boston has a record of 16-10 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -129 on the moneyline.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 56.3% chance to win.
The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 71 games this year and have walked away with the win 27 times (38%) in those games.
Miami has a mark of 23-35 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +109 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 47.8% chance of walking away with the win.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

The Red Sox have a 4-4 record from the eight games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the run total seven times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Red Sox have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.6
HR	17
ERA	4.85
K/9	8.3

Red Sox Player Insights

Duran is batting .287 with 23 doubles, 10 triples, 10 home runs and 32 walks.
Of all batters in the majors, Duran's home run total ranks him 79th, and his RBI tally puts him 60th.
Duran has collected a hit in four straight games. In his last five games he is batting .200 with three home runs, two walks and three RBI.
Rafael Devers' 18 home runs, 47 RBI and .288 batting average all pace his team.
Among all major league hitters, Devers is 11th in homers and 33rd in RBI.
Devers has two straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .368 with a double, three home runs, a walk and six RBI.
Ceddanne Rafaela is hitting .240 with 13 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 10 walks.
Tyler O'Neill is hitting .257 with 10 doubles, 16 home runs and 30 walks.

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

In 10 games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Marlins had a record of 4-6.
The Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Marlins are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	2.9
HR	7
ERA	4.40
K/9	9.0

Marlins Player Insights

Jazz Chisholm leads the Marlins with a .256 batting average.
Chisholm ranks 79th in home runs and 70th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Bryan De La Cruz been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with 15 home runs and 40 runs batted in.
Among all major league batters, De La Cruz is 23rd in home runs and 60th in RBI.
Josh Bell is hitting .239 with 15 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 24 walks.
Jesus Sanchez is batting .231 with 10 doubles, eight home runs and 15 walks.