Justin Turner and the Boston Red Sox will play Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets at Fenway Park on Saturday at 2:10 PM ET, in the first game of a three-game series. The Mets are +103 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favored Red Sox (-122). Boston is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +165 odds). The matchup's over/under has been set at 9 runs.
The Boston Red Sox will hand the ball to Kutter Crawford (4-4, 3.61 ERA), who is looking for win No. 5 on the season, and the Mets will counter with Kodai Senga (7-5, 3.20 ERA).
Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Mets game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):
Red Sox vs. Mets Game Information & Odds
- When: Saturday, July 22, 2023 at 2:10 PM ET
- Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
- How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -122 | +103 | 9 | -109 | -110 | -1.5 | +165 | -201 |
Red Sox vs. Mets Prediction
- Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Mets 4
- Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
- Win Probabilities: Red Sox 54%, Mets 46%
Red Sox vs. Mets Betting Insights
- This season, the Red Sox have been favored 44 times and won 24, or 54.5%, of those games.
- Boston has a record of 17-12, a 58.6% win rate, when favored by -122 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 55%.
- The Mets have come away with 10 wins in the 32 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, New York has come away with a win two times in 18 chances when named as an underdog of at least +103 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 49.3% chance of pulling out a win.
Red Sox Recent Betting Performance
- The Red Sox have a 5-3 record from the eight games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 matchups, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
- The Red Sox have gone 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.
Red Sox Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.6 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.03 |
| K/9 | 10.7 |
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Red Sox Player Insights
- Turner is hitting .289 with 22 doubles, 15 home runs and 35 walks.
- Including all MLB hitters, Turner is 16th in batting average, 31st in on-base percentage, and 35th in slugging.
- Turner carries a 15-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .351 with four doubles, two home runs, three walks and 12 RBI.
- Rafael Devers has shown his power as he leads his team with 23 home runs and 73 runs batted in.
- Devers is ninth in home runs and sixth in RBI among all batters in baseball.
- Masataka Yoshida has put up a team-best batting average of .317.
- Yoshida has at least one base hit in four straight games. In his last five games he is batting .318 with three doubles, a triple, a home run and six RBI.
- Alex Verdugo is batting .280 with 27 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 34 walks.
Red Sox Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Turner | 1.5 (+185) | 1.5 (+105) | 0.5 (+550) | 0.5 (+150) |
| Triston Casas | 0.5 (-189) | 1.5 (+135) | 0.5 (+425) | 0.5 (+160) |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 (-278) | 1.5 (-105) | 0.5 (+360) | 0.5 (+110) |
| Adam Duvall | 0.5 (-189) | 1.5 (+130) | 0.5 (+380) | 0.5 (+150) |
| Alex Verdugo | 1.5 (+190) | 1.5 (+110) | 0.5 (+800) | 0.5 (+180) |
Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.
Mets Recent Betting Performance
- The Mets have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have failed to hit the over eight times.
- The Mets have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Mets Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.50 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
Mets Player Insights
- Lindor is batting .229 with 21 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 42 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .318.
- In all of the majors, Lindor is 20th in homers and 16th in RBI.
- Pete Alonso has hit 26 home runs with 63 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
- Alonso is fifth overall in home runs and 13th in RBI this season.
- Brandon Nimmo has a team-best batting average of .261.
- Jeff McNeil has 14 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 28 walks while hitting .246.
Mets Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Canha | 0.5 (-233) | 1.5 (+130) | 0.5 (+550) | 0.5 (+195) |
| Pete Alonso | 1.5 (+180) | 1.5 (-115) | 0.5 (+245) | 0.5 (+100) |
| Tommy Pham | 1.5 (+170) | 1.5 (-110) | 0.5 (+400) | 0.5 (+145) |
| Jeff McNeil | 1.5 (+155) | 1.5 (-115) | 0.5 (+650) | 0.5 (+130) |
| Brandon Nimmo | 1.5 (+175) | 1.5 (-115) | 0.5 (+475) | 0.5 (+145) |
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