Red Sox vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 23

Updated Jul. 23, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Triston Casas and the Boston Red Sox square off against Pete Alonso and the New York Mets on Sunday at 7:10 PM ET, in the final of a three-game series at Fenway Park. The favored Red Sox have -142 moneyline odds against the underdog Mets, who are listed at +120. Boston is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +127 odds). The matchup's total has been set at 10.5 runs.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Boston Red Sox looking to Brennan Bernardino (1-0), and Carlos Carrasco (3-3) taking the ball for the New York Mets.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Mets game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Red Sox vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, July 23, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
How to Watch on TV: ESPN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox	-142	+120	10.5	-119	-100	-1.5	+127	-151

Red Sox vs. Mets Prediction

Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Mets 4
Total Prediction: Under 10.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Red Sox 58%, Mets 42%

Red Sox vs. Mets Betting Insights

The Red Sox have entered the game as favorites 45 times this season and won 25, or 55.6%, of those games.
Boston has entered 18 games this season favored by -142 or more and is 9-9 in those contests.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 58.7% chance to win.
The Mets have won in 10, or 30.3%, of the 33 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
New York has won all of its seven games in which it was named as at least a +120 moneyline underdog.
The Mets have an implied victory probability of 45.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

The Red Sox went 6-3 across the nine games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to hit the over six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Red Sox's record against the spread is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	6.1
HR	20
ERA	4.24
K/9	10.3

Place your bets on Red Sox vs. Mets now with FOX Bet!

Red Sox Player Insights

Justin Turner has 22 doubles, 16 home runs and 35 walks while hitting .286.
Turner ranks 43rd in home runs and 13th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Masataka Yoshida has a club-best .319 batting average.
Among all major league hitters, Yoshida is 111th in homers and 55th in RBI.
Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox with 23 home runs and 73 runs batted in.
Devers is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and an RBI.
Alex Verdugo has 27 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 35 walks while batting .274.

Red Sox Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Alex Verdugo	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+140)
Triston Casas	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+370)	0.5 (+140)
Jarren Duran	1.5 (+130)	1.5 (-141)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+170)
Justin Turner	1.5 (+175)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+120)
Adam Duvall	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+135)

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Mets have a record of 1-4.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
The Mets have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	3.5
HR	10
ERA	4.40
K/9	9.5

Mets Player Insights

Francisco Lindor is hitting .226 with 21 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 42 walks.
Lindor's home run total places him 23rd in MLB, and he is 22nd in RBI.
Alonso been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with 26 home runs and 63 RBI.
Alonso is fifth in home runs and 14th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
Brandon Nimmo leads the Mets with a team-best batting average of .260.
Jeff McNeil is hitting .248 with 15 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 28 walks.

Mets Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Mark Canha	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+200)
Mark Vientos	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+145)
Brandon Nimmo	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+200)
Jeff McNeil	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+155)
Pete Alonso	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (+125)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Red Sox vs Mets!

Download the FOX Super 6 app for your chance to win thousands of dollars on the biggest sporting events each and every week! Just make your picks and you could win the grand prize. Download and play today!