Red Sox vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 15

Updated Aug. 15, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Josiah Gray gets the nod on the mound for the Washington Nationals in the first of a three-game series against the Boston Red Sox and Pablo Reyes on Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET. Bookmakers list the Red Sox as -170 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Nationals +143 moneyline odds to win. Boston (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under is 9.5 runs for the matchup.

The scheduled starters are Nick Pivetta (8-6) for the Boston Red Sox, and Gray (7-9) for the Washington Nationals.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Nationals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Red Sox vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, August 15, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
How to Watch on TV: MASN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox	-170	+143	9.5	-104	-116	-1.5	-105	-115

Red Sox vs. Nationals Prediction

Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Nationals 4
Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Red Sox 50%, Nationals 50%

Red Sox vs. Nationals Betting Insights

The Red Sox have entered the game as favorites 57 times this season and won 31, or 54.4%, of those games.
Boston has entered 14 games this season favored by -170 or more and is 7-7 in those contests.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 63% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
The Nationals have won in 44, or 41.1%, of the 107 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
Washington has a mark of 28-34 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +143 or worse on the moneyline.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 41.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

The Red Sox have a 5-4 record from the nine games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Red Sox combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total two times.
The Red Sox's ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.6
HR	11
ERA	4.90
K/9	8.6

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Red Sox Player Insights

Justin Turner is hitting .288 with 25 doubles, 19 home runs and 39 walks.
Including all MLB hitters, Turner is 16th in batting average, 31st in on-base percentage, and 28th in slugging.
Turner takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with two home runs and two RBI.
Rafael Devers' 26 home runs and 79 RBI are both team-highs.
Of all MLB hitters, Devers ranks 12th in home runs and 10th in RBI.
Devers enters this matchup looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .235 with a double and two walks.
Masataka Yoshida has a team-best batting average of .300.
Yoshida has at least one base hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .158 with a double, a walk and an RBI.
Alex Verdugo is batting .269 with 29 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 39 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Adam Duvall	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+330)	0.5 (+150)
Rafael Devers	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (-120)	0.5 (+275)	0.5 (+110)
Alex Verdugo	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+185)
Jarren Duran	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+160)
Justin Turner	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+170)

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

The Nationals have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents are 3-6-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Nationals have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	4.9
HR	14
ERA	4.50
K/9	9.4

Nationals Player Insights

Lane Thomas leads the squad with a batting average of .284, while leading the Nationals in home runs, with 20 and runs batted in with 68.
In all of the big leagues, Thomas is 35th in homers and 31st in RBI.
Thomas has collected a hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .211 with a double and an RBI.
Joey Meneses is hitting .281 with 26 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 31 walks.
Meneses is currently 139th in home runs and 44th in RBI in the major leagues.
C.J. Abrams is hitting .255 with 22 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 19 walks.
Keibert Ruiz is hitting .257 with 16 doubles, 14 home runs and 27 walks.

Nationals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Dominic Smith	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+200)
Joey Meneses	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+165)
Keibert Ruiz	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+180)
C.J. Abrams	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+220)
Stone Garrett	0.5 (-154)	0.5 (-154)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+205)

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