Red Sox vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 16

Updated Aug. 16, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Boston Red Sox will send a hot-hitting Pablo Reyes to the plate against the Washington Nationals and Keibert Ruiz, who has been on a tear as of late, when the teams square off on Wednesday at 7:05 PM ET. The Red Sox are favored in this one, at -157, while the underdog Nationals have +133 odds to upset. Boston is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +103 odds). The over/under for the game is set at 9 runs.

The Boston Red Sox will hand the ball to James Paxton (7-3, 3.36 ERA), who is looking for win No. 8 on the season, and the Nationals will turn to MacKenzie Gore (6-9, 4.62 ERA).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Nationals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Red Sox vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, August 16, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
How to Watch on TV: MASN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox	-157	+133	9	+100	-120	-1.5	+103	-123

Red Sox vs. Nationals Prediction

Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Nationals 5
Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Red Sox 50%, Nationals 50%

Red Sox vs. Nationals Betting Insights

This season, the Red Sox have been favored 58 times and won 32, or 55.2%, of those games.
This season Boston has won 10 of its 19 games, or 52.6%, when favored by at least -157 on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 61.1% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
The Nationals have been victorious in 44, or 40.7%, of the 108 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This season, Washington has come away with a win 34 times in 75 chances when named as an underdog of at least +133 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 42.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

The Red Sox went 6-3 over the nine games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to hit the over two times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Red Sox have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	3.8
HR	10
ERA	4.60
K/9	9.1

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Red Sox Player Insights

Justin Turner has 25 doubles, 19 home runs and 39 walks while batting .285.
Including all MLB hitters, Turner is 17th in batting average, 38th in on-base percentage, and 32nd in slugging.
Rafael Devers' 26 home runs and 79 runs batted in are both team-highs.
Devers ranks 13th in homers and 10th in RBI in the major leagues.
Masataka Yoshida paces the Red Sox with a team-high batting average of .300.
Yoshida is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .158 with a double, a walk and an RBI.
Alex Verdugo is batting .269 with 29 doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 39 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Justin Turner	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+160)
Rob Refsnyder	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+220)
Adam Duvall	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+260)	0.5 (+120)
Trevor Story	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+300)	0.5 (+125)
Rafael Devers	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+310)	0.5 (+140)

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 3-4.
The Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Nationals have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.7
HR	11
ERA	4.76
K/9	9.5

Nationals Player Insights

Lane Thomas paces the Nationals in home runs (20), runs batted in (68) and has a team-high batting average of .282.
Thomas' home run total places him 37th in the majors, and he ranks 33rd in RBI.
Joey Meneses is batting .279 with 26 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 32 walks.
Meneses is currently 139th in home runs and 47th in RBI in the big leagues.
Ruiz is hitting .257 with 17 doubles, 14 home runs and 27 walks.
C.J. Abrams is hitting .256 with 22 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 20 walks.

Nationals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Lane Thomas	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+180)
Keibert Ruiz	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+165)
Dominic Smith	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+155)	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+235)
C.J. Abrams	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+245)
Stone Garrett	0.5 (-185)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (+160)

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