Red Sox vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 17

Updated Aug. 17, 2023 3:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Keibert Ruiz and the Washington Nationals take the field on Thursday at Nationals Park against Chris Sale, who is the named starter for the Boston Red Sox. First pitch will be at 4:05 PM ET for the final game of a three-game series. The Red Sox are favored in this one, at -180, while the underdog Nationals have +152 odds to win. Boston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under for the matchup is set at 9.5 runs.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Boston Red Sox looking to Sale (5-2), and Patrick Corbin (7-11) getting the nod for the Washington Nationals.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Nationals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Red Sox vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, August 17, 2023 at 4:05 PM ET
Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
How to Watch on TV: MASN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox	-180	+152	9.5	-113	-107	-1.5	-114	-106

Red Sox vs. Nationals Prediction

Score Prediction: Nationals 6, Red Sox 5
Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Red Sox 50%, Nationals 50%

Red Sox vs. Nationals Betting Insights

The Red Sox have entered the game as favorites 59 times this season and won 32, or 54.2%, of those games.
Boston has a record of 7-6 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -180 on the moneyline.
The Red Sox have a 64.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 109 games this year and have walked away with the win 45 times (41.3%) in those games.
Washington has a win-loss record of 26-28 when favored by +152 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 39.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

The Red Sox played as the moneyline favorite for each of their last 10 games, and they finished 6-4 in those matchups.
In their last 10 matchups, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the run total two times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Red Sox's ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	3.6
HR	10
ERA	4.75
K/9	9.1

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Red Sox Player Insights

Justin Turner has 25 doubles, 19 home runs and 40 walks while batting .285.
In all of the majors, Turner is 45th in homers and 24th in RBI.
Rafael Devers has hit 26 home runs with 79 RBI. Both are team-highs.
Devers is 14th in home runs and 11th in RBI on the season.
Masataka Yoshida leads the Red Sox with a .298 batting average.
Alex Verdugo has 29 doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 39 walks while hitting .269.
Verdugo is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .158 with a home run and three RBI.

Red Sox Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Rob Refsnyder	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+190)
Rafael Devers	1.5 (+150)	1.5 (-115)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (+125)
Alex Verdugo	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+170)
Pablo Reyes	0.5 (-286)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+155)
Connor Wong	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+160)

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 3-4.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents are 3-6-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Nationals have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.6
HR	15
ERA	4.66
K/9	9.4

Nationals Player Insights

Lane Thomas leads the Nationals with 20 home runs and 68 runs batted in, while recording a team-high batting average of .284.
Among all hitters in the majors, Thomas' home run total is 38th and his RBI tally is 33rd.
Joey Meneses is hitting .281 with 27 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 32 walks.
Meneses is 141st among all batters in MLB in homers, and 48th in RBI.
Ruiz is batting .257 with 17 doubles, 15 home runs and 27 walks.
C.J. Abrams is batting .253 with 22 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 20 walks.

Nationals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Stone Garrett	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+360)	0.5 (+150)
Joey Meneses	-	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+180)
Ildemaro Vargas	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+220)
Keibert Ruiz	0.5 (-286)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+190)
Lane Thomas	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+195)

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