Red Sox vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 12

Updated May. 12, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

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The Washington Nationals and Luis Garcia take the field in the final game of a three-game series against Tyler O'Neill and the Boston Red Sox on Sunday at Fenway Park. The favored Red Sox have -139 moneyline odds against the underdog Nationals, who are listed at +119. Boston is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +149 odds). The over/under is 7.5 runs for the contest (with -118 odds on the over and -103 odds on the under).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Nationals vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays in this matchup between the Washington Nationals and the Boston Red Sox.

Red Sox vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, May 12, 2024 at 1:35 PM ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to Watch on TV: MASN

Red Sox vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Nationals 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 56%, Nationals 44%

Red Sox vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• This season, the Red Sox have been favored 16 times and won 10, or 62.5%, of those games.
• Boston has entered eight games this season favored by -139 or more and is 6-2 in those contests.
• The Red Sox have a 58.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Nationals have come away with 17 wins in the 35 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Washington has come away with a win 15 times in 31 chances when named as an underdog of at least +119 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 45.7% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

WSH 2 · BOS 3

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Washington Nationals

WSH

+1.5

+118

O 7.5

Boston Red Sox

BOS

-1.5

-139

U 7.5

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox were the moneyline favorite for four of their last 10 games, and finished 2-2 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the total two times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Red Sox's record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran is hitting .265 with nine doubles, six triples, a home run and 15 walks.
• Duran's home runs rank him 254th in the majors, and he is 100th in RBI.
• Duran takes a hitting streak of five games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .318 with three doubles, two triples and an RBI.
• O'Neill has hit nine home runs to pace his team.
• O'Neill is ninth in home runs and 138th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Wilyer Abreu is hitting .284 with nine doubles, a triple, three home runs and 16 walks.
• Abreu will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .143 with a double, a home run, five walks and an RBI.
• Rafael Devers is batting .288 to pace his team.

Red Sox Team Props

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• The Nationals have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and have gone 4-5 in those contests.
• The Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
• Over their last 10 games, the Nationals are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• C.J. Abrams paces the Nationals with seven long balls and runs batted in, driving in 20.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Abrams' home run total ranks 31st and his RBI tally ranks 57th.
• Garcia's 20 runs batted in and .307 batting average both lead his team.
• Garcia is currently 134th in homers and 57th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Jesse Winker is hitting .238 with eight doubles, four home runs and 19 walks.
• Jacob Young is hitting .275 with six doubles and seven walks.

Nationals Team Props

Nationals vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays in this matchup between the Washington Nationals and the Boston Red Sox.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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