Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 11

Updated Sep. 11, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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Rafael Devers and the Boston Red Sox take on Gunnar Henderson and the Baltimore Orioles at Fenway Park on Wednesday, at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Red Sox are -138 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Orioles (+117). Boston is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 9 runs for the game.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Orioles game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Jarren Duran goes deep for the Red Sox in the eighth inning, taking the lead against the Astros

Jarren Duran went deep for the Boston Red Sox in the eighth inning, taking the lead against the Houston Astros.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, September 11, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to Watch on TV: MASN

Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Orioles 5
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 51%, Orioles 49%

Red Sox vs. Orioles Betting Insights

• The Red Sox have entered the game as favorites 73 times this season and won 39, or 53.4%, of those games.
• Boston has a record of 22-12, a 64.7% win rate, when favored by -138 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 58% chance to win.
• The Orioles have won in 18, or 54.5%, of the 33 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Baltimore has been victorious four times in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +117 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 46.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL (10)

BAL 3 · BOS 5

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Baltimore Orioles

BAL

+1.5

+116

O 9.5

Boston Red Sox

BOS

-1.5

-136

U 9.5

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox went 3-3 across the six games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
• The Red Sox are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• The Red Sox best hitter thus far this season is Jarren Duran, who's hitting at a team-leading .288 rate along with 21 homers and 72 RBI.
• Duran's home runs put him 49th in MLB, and he ranks 44th in RBI.
• Devers' 81 runs batted in pace his team.
• Devers is 20th in home runs and 28th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Devers carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .389 with a double and three walks.
• Tyler O'Neill leads the Red Sox with 29 home runs.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has 21 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 15 walks while batting .253.
• Rafaela takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .211 with a double, a home run and six RBI.

Red Sox Team Props

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

• The Orioles have been underdogs twice in the last 10 games and split those matchups 1-1.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Orioles and their opponents are 5-4-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Orioles have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Orioles Recent Stats

Orioles Player Insights

• Henderson leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .282.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Henderson's home run total ranks sixth and his RBI tally ranks 21st.
• Henderson has collected a hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with a double, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
• Anthony Santander been a consistent power bat this season, as he paces his team with 40 home runs and 94 runs batted in.
• Santander ranks third overall in home runs and 13th in RBI this year.
• Adley Rutschman is batting .254 with 18 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 53 walks.
• Ryan O'Hearn is hitting .259 with 18 doubles, three triples, 13 home runs and 44 walks.

Orioles Team Props

Jarren Duran goes deep for the Red Sox in the eighth inning, taking the lead against the Astros

Jarren Duran went deep for the Boston Red Sox in the eighth inning, taking the lead against the Houston Astros.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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