Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 29
Updated
Sep. 29, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive
Wilyer Abreu and the Boston Red Sox will play Adley Rutschman and the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Friday. The Red Sox are -120 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Orioles (+100). Boston is a 1.5-run favorite (at +141 odds). A 7.5-run over/under is listed in the matchup.
The Red Sox will give the ball to Nick Pivetta (9-9) versus the Orioles and John Means (1-1).
Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Orioles game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.
Red Sox vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds
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- When: Friday, September 29, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
- Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
- How to Watch on TV: MASN
Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Red Sox | -120 | +100 | 7.5 | -117 | -104 | -1.5 | +141 | -168 |
Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction
- Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Red Sox 4
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Red Sox 57%, Orioles 43%
Red Sox vs. Orioles Betting Insights
- This season, the Red Sox have won 37 out of the 73 games, or 50.7%, in which they've been favored.
- Boston is 32-25 this season when entering a game favored by -120 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
- The Orioles have won in 44, or 57.9%, of the 76 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Baltimore has come away with a win 37 times in 59 chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 50% chance of pulling out a win.
Red Sox Recent Betting Performance
- The Red Sox were the moneyline favorite in three of their last 10 games, and they went 1-2 in those matchups.
- Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times.
- The Red Sox's record against the spread is 2-8-0 over their past 10 games.
Red Sox Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 2-8 |
Runs Per Game | 2.7 |
HR | 6 |
ERA | 5.03 |
K/9 | 8.6 |
Red Sox Player Insights
- The Red Sox's best power option comes in the form of Rafael Devers and his 33-homer 98-RBI season, both team highs.
- Devers' home runs put him 16th in MLB, and he ranks 17th in RBI.
- Justin Turner is hitting .274 with 30 doubles, 23 home runs and 51 walks.
- Turner ranks 60th in homers and 22nd in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
- Masataka Yoshida paces the Red Sox with a team-high batting average of .285.
- Alex Verdugo is batting .263 with 37 doubles, five triples, 13 home runs and 45 walks.
Red Sox Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Adam Duvall | 0.5 (-196) | 1.5 (+115) | 0.5 (+285) | 0.5 (+135) |
Trevor Story | 0.5 (-200) | 1.5 (+135) | 0.5 (+450) | 0.5 (+185) |
Rafael Devers | 0.5 (-233) | 1.5 (+130) | 0.5 (+500) | 0.5 (+200) |
Justin Turner | 0.5 (-208) | 1.5 (+135) | 0.5 (+500) | 0.5 (+195) |
Bobby Dalbec | 0.5 (-135) | 0.5 (-135) | 0.5 (+450) | 0.5 (+210) |
Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.
Orioles Recent Betting Performance
- In four games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Orioles have a record of 3-1.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Orioles and their opponents are 3-7-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
- The Orioles have won six of their last 10 games against the spread.
Orioles Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 7-3 |
Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
HR | 8 |
ERA | 2.68 |
K/9 | 7.6 |
Orioles Player Insights
- Rutschman leads the team in batting average with a mark of .277.
- Among all batters in the big leagues, Rutschman's home run total is 90th and his RBI tally ranks 57th.
- Anthony Santander has hit 28 home runs with 93 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
- Santander ranks 33rd in homers and 33rd in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
- Gunnar Henderson has 28 home runs, best in the lineup.
- Austin Hays has 36 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 38 walks while batting .275.
Orioles Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 (-233) | 1.5 (+140) | 0.5 (+650) | 0.5 (+185) |
Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 (-222) | 1.5 (+130) | 0.5 (+550) | 0.5 (+200) |
Adley Rutschman | 0.5 (-208) | 1.5 (+145) | 0.5 (+700) | 0.5 (+225) |
Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 (-233) | 1.5 (+135) | 0.5 (+650) | 0.5 (+195) |
Ramón Urías | 0.5 (-159) | 0.5 (-159) | 0.5 (+800) | 0.5 (+245) |
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