Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 29

Updated Sep. 29, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

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Wilyer Abreu and the Boston Red Sox will play Adley Rutschman and the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Friday. The Red Sox are -120 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Orioles (+100). Boston is a 1.5-run favorite (at +141 odds). A 7.5-run over/under is listed in the matchup.

The Red Sox will give the ball to Nick Pivetta (9-9) versus the Orioles and John Means (1-1).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Orioles game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, September 29, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
• Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
• How to Watch on TV: MASN

Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction

• Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Red Sox 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 57%, Orioles 43%

Red Sox vs. Orioles Betting Insights

• This season, the Red Sox have won 37 out of the 73 games, or 50.7%, in which they've been favored.
• Boston is 32-25 this season when entering a game favored by -120 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
• The Orioles have won in 44, or 57.9%, of the 76 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Baltimore has come away with a win 37 times in 59 chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 50% chance of pulling out a win.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox were the moneyline favorite in three of their last 10 games, and they went 1-2 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times.
• The Red Sox's record against the spread is 2-8-0 over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• The Red Sox's best power option comes in the form of Rafael Devers and his 33-homer 98-RBI season, both team highs.
• Devers' home runs put him 16th in MLB, and he ranks 17th in RBI.
• Justin Turner is hitting .274 with 30 doubles, 23 home runs and 51 walks.
• Turner ranks 60th in homers and 22nd in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Masataka Yoshida paces the Red Sox with a team-high batting average of .285.
• Alex Verdugo is batting .263 with 37 doubles, five triples, 13 home runs and 45 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

• In four games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Orioles have a record of 3-1.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Orioles and their opponents are 3-7-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Orioles have won six of their last 10 games against the spread.

Orioles Recent Stats

Orioles Player Insights

• Rutschman leads the team in batting average with a mark of .277.
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Rutschman's home run total is 90th and his RBI tally ranks 57th.
• Anthony Santander has hit 28 home runs with 93 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
• Santander ranks 33rd in homers and 33rd in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Gunnar Henderson has 28 home runs, best in the lineup.
• Austin Hays has 36 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 38 walks while batting .275.

Orioles Team Props

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