Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 9

Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 9

Updated Sep. 9, 2023 4:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Baltimore Orioles and Anthony Santander take the field against Triston Casas and the Boston Red Sox on Saturday at Fenway Park. The Red Sox are the favorite in this one, at -145, while the underdog Orioles have +123 odds to upset. Boston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). A 10-run total is listed in the game.

The scheduled starters are Chris Sale (6-3) for the Boston Red Sox, and Jack Flaherty (8-8) for the Baltimore Orioles.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Orioles game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Red Sox vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Saturday, September 9, 2023 at 4:10 PM ET
  • Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
  • How to Watch on TV: NESN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox -145 +123 10 -105 -115 -1.5 +133 -157

Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Orioles 6, Red Sox 5
  • Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Red Sox 50%, Orioles 50%

Red Sox vs. Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Red Sox have won 35, or 53%, of the 66 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Boston is 13-15 this season when entering a game favored by -145 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 59.2%.
  • The Orioles have been underdogs in 69 games this season and have come away with the win 39 times (56.5%) in those contests.
  • This season, Baltimore has been victorious 12 times in 20 chances when named as an underdog of at least +123 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 44.8% chance of walking away with the win.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

  • The Red Sox were the moneyline favorite in five of their last 10 games, and finished 2-3 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Red Sox and their opponents combined to hit the over seven times.
  • The Red Sox are 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 10
ERA 7.08
K/9 7.9

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Red Sox Player Insights

  • Rafael Devers has gone yard 29 times this season, the highest mark on the Red Sox, while hitting .265 with 91 RBI.
  • Of all hitters in MLB, Devers' home run total places him 16th, and his RBI tally ranks him 12th.
  • Justin Turner's 92 runs batted in are a team-high mark.
  • Including all major league hitters, Turner is 49th in homers and ninth in RBI.
  • Masataka Yoshida paces the Red Sox with a team-high batting average of .290.
  • Alex Verdugo is hitting .276 with 35 doubles, five triples, 13 home runs and 42 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Alex Verdugo 1.5 (+160) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+185)
Adam Duvall 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+360) 0.5 (+130)
Trevor Story 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+155)
Justin Turner 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+140)
Rafael Devers 1.5 (+160) 1.5 (-115) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+145)

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

  • The Orioles have been underdogs once in the past 10 games and won that contest.
  • The Orioles and their opponents have combined to hit the over eight times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Orioles have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 7.2
HR 9
ERA 3.70
K/9 8.7

Orioles Player Insights

  • Adley Rutschman has 23 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 78 walks while hitting .274.
  • Rutschman's home run total places him 88th in the big leagues, and he is 62nd in RBI.
  • Santander been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with 27 home runs and 82 RBI.
  • Among all major league batters, Santander ranks 23rd in home runs and 32nd in RBI.
  • Gunnar Henderson is batting .254 with 25 doubles, seven triples, 23 home runs and 50 walks.
  • Austin Hays leads the Orioles with a team-high batting average of .285.

Orioles Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Ramón Urías 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+215)
Ryan Mountcastle 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+155)
Anthony Santander 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+150)
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 (-196) 0.5 (-196) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+200)
James McCann 0.5 (-169) 0.5 (-169) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+220)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Red Sox vs Orioles!

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