Red Sox vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 28

Updated Jun. 28, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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Jarren Duran and the Boston Red Sox take on Jake Cronenworth and the San Diego Padres on Friday at 7:10 PM ET, in the first of a three-game series at Fenway Park. The Red Sox are favored in this one, at -156, while the underdog Padres have +132 odds to upset. Boston is a 1.5-run favorite (at +125 odds). A 9.5-run over/under has been listed for the game.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Nationals vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Washington Nationals and the San Diego Padres on Wednesday, June 26.

Red Sox vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, June 28, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to Watch on TV: Apple TV+

Red Sox vs. Padres Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Padres 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 55%, Padres 45%

Red Sox vs. Padres Betting Insights

• The Red Sox have been favorites in 38 games this season and won 21 (55.3%) of those contests.
• This season Boston has won six of its nine games, or 66.7%, when favored by at least -156 on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have a 60.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Padres have been victorious in 15, or 46.9%, of the 32 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• San Diego has a mark of 6-7 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +132 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 43.1% chance of pulling out a win.

FINAL

SD 9 · BOS 2

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

San Diego Padres

SD

+1.5

+133

O 9.5

Boston Red Sox

BOS

-1.5

-159

U 9.5

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox went 3-2 over the five games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the total seven times.
• The Red Sox have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Duran leads the Red Sox with a .288 batting average.
• In all of MLB, Duran ranks 132nd in homers and 68th in RBI.
• Rafael Devers has hit 16 home runs with 42 RBI. Both pace his team.
• Devers ranks 16th in home runs in MLB, and 37th in RBI.
• Devers enters this game looking for his fifth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .368 with a double, two home runs, a walk and four RBI.
• Tyler O'Neill paces the Red Sox with 16 home runs.
• O'Neill will look to build on his four-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .313 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and two RBI.
• Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .238 with 12 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 10 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• In five games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Padres had a record of 3-2.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents have combined to hit the over eight times.
• The Padres have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• The Padres are led in runs batted in by Jurickson Profar with a mark of 55, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .316.
• Profar is 54th in homers and 10th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Profar takes a hitting streak of 10 games into this game. In his last 10 games he is hitting .275 with three doubles, a home run, a walk and 10 RBI.
• Cronenworth is batting .264 with 17 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 26 walks.
• Cronenworth is 41st in home runs and 18th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Ha-Seong Kim has nine doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 46 walks while batting .223.
• Luis Arraez has 15 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 14 walks while hitting .310.

Padres Team Props

Nationals vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Washington Nationals and the San Diego Padres on Wednesday, June 26.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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