Red Sox vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 30

Red Sox vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 30

Updated Jun. 30, 2024 1:01 p.m. ET

Manny Machado and the San Diego Padres take the field on Sunday at Fenway Park against Josh Winckowski, who is starting for the Boston Red Sox. First pitch will be at 1:35 PM ET. The Red Sox are the favorite in this one, at -112, while the underdog Padres have -107 odds to win. San Diego (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under is 10 runs for this matchup (with -115 odds on the over and -105 odds to go under).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the San Diego Padres and the Boston Red Sox on Saturday, June 29.
ADVERTISEMENT

Red Sox vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

  • When: Sunday, June 30, 2024 at 1:35 PM ET
  • Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
  • How to Watch on TV: SDPA
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox -112 -107 10 -115 -105 -1.5 -175 +146

Red Sox vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Red Sox 4, Padres 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Red Sox 54%, Padres 46%

Red Sox vs. Padres Betting Insights

  • This season, the Red Sox have been favored 40 times and won 21, or 52.5%, of those games.
  • Boston is 21-18 this season when entering a game favored by -112 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 52.8% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
  • The Padres have been victorious in 17, or 50%, of the 34 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, San Diego has been victorious 17 times in 32 chances when named as an underdog of at least -107 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 51.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
FINAL
SD 1 · BOS 4
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
San Diego Padres
SD
Boston Red Sox
BOS

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

  • The Red Sox were the moneyline favorite for seven of their last 10 games, and they finished 3-4 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Red Sox combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total seven times.
  • The Red Sox have a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 18
ERA 5.06
K/9 8.1

Red Sox Player Insights

  • Jarren Duran paces the Red Sox with a team-high batting average of .287.
  • Duran is 113th in homers and 68th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Duran has collected a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .348 with two doubles, a home run and four RBI.
  • Rafael Devers has hit 17 home runs with 43 RBI. Both pace his team.
  • Including all major league hitters, Devers is 13th in home runs and 40th in RBI.
  • Tyler O'Neill has 10 doubles, 16 home runs and 29 walks while hitting .252.
  • Ceddanne Rafaela has 13 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 10 walks while batting .243.

Red Sox Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jarren Duran 1.5 (+160) 1.5 (-140) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+150)
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+195)
Enmanuel Valdez 0.5 (-185) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+165)
David Hamilton 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+160)
Connor Wong 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+205)

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres have played as underdogs five times over their past 10 games and won each of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents have combined to hit the over nine times.
  • The Padres have a record of 8-2-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 9-1
Runs Per Game 7.3
HR 20
ERA 3.86
K/9 8.9

Padres Player Insights

  • Jurickson Profar has a team-high batting average of .315 and leads the Padres in runs batted in with a mark of 55.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Profar is 58th in homers and 10th in RBI.
  • Profar takes a hitting streak of 12 games into this game. During his last 10 games he is batting .275 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and nine RBI.
  • Jake Cronenworth is batting .262 with 17 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 26 walks.
  • Cronenworth ranks 45th among all batters in the majors in home runs, and 16th in RBI.
  • Luis Arraez has a team-best batting average of .315.
  • Ha-Seong Kim is hitting .227 with nine doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 47 walks.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+110) 1.5 (-130) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+160)
Jackson Merrill 1.5 (+150) 1.5 (-125) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+130)
Ha-Seong Kim 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+160)
Jake Cronenworth 1.5 (+150) 1.5 (-125) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+120)
Jurickson Profar 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+165)

Padres vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the San Diego Padres and the Boston Red Sox on Saturday, June 29.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience
Boston Red Sox
San Diego Padres
share