Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 17

Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 17

Updated Sep. 17, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

Christopher Morel and the Tampa Bay Rays will take the field on Tuesday at Tropicana Field against Nick Pivetta, who gets the start for the Boston Red Sox. First pitch will be at 6:50 p.m. ET for the first game of a three-game series. Bookmakers list the Red Sox as -130 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Rays +110 moneyline odds to win. Boston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 8 runs for the matchup.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Rays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Red Sox vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, September 17, 2024 at 6:50 p.m. ET
  • Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
  • How to Watch on TV: NESN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox -130 +110 8 -105 -115 -1.5 +135 -160

Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Rays 5, Red Sox 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Red Sox 52%, Rays 48%

Red Sox vs. Rays Betting Insights

  • This season, the Red Sox have been favored 74 times and won 40, or 54.1%, of those games.
  • Boston has entered 49 games this season favored by -130 or more and is 29-20 in those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.5% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
  • The Rays have been victorious in 36, or 44.4%, of the 81 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Tampa Bay has come away with a win 17 times in 45 chances when named as an underdog of at least +110 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Rays have an implied victory probability of 47.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
FINAL
BOS 3 · TB 8
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Boston Red Sox
BOS
Tampa Bay Rays
TB

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

  • The Red Sox went 4-2 over the six games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Red Sox combined with their opponents to go over the run total two times.
  • The Red Sox's ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 14
ERA 3.24
K/9 8.1

Red Sox Player Insights

  • Jarren Duran paces the Red Sox with a .287 batting average.
  • Duran's home runs place him 54th in MLB, and he is 49th in RBI.
  • Duran has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .261 with a double.
  • Rafael Devers' 83 runs batted in pace his team.
  • Devers ranks 21st in home runs in the majors, and 30th in RBI.
  • Devers enters this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .188 with five walks and two RBI.
  • Tyler O'Neill leads the Red Sox with 31 home runs.
  • Ceddanne Rafaela is hitting .250 with 21 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 15 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Rafael Devers 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+145)
Jarren Duran 0.5 (-275) 1.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+175)
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+185)
Trevor Story 0.5 (-170) 0.5 (-170) - 0.5 (+235)
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (-135) - 0.5 (+195)

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Rays matchup on Fox Sports.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

  • The Rays have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Rays and their opponents are 2-8-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Rays have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 2.5
HR 8
ERA 2.78
K/9 8.2

Rays Player Insights

  • Yandy Diaz paces the Rays with 65 runs batted in while racking up a team-high batting average of .283.
  • Diaz is 130th in homers and 73rd in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
  • Diaz brings a hitting streak of seven games into this game. During his last 10 outings he is batting .405 with two doubles, two home runs, three walks and six RBI.
  • Morel has put his power on display as he leads his team with 21 home runs.
  • Morel ranks 54th in homers and 108th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Brandon Lowe has 19 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 33 walks while hitting .244.
  • Jose Caballero is hitting .229 with 24 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 27 walks.

Rays Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Yandy Díaz 0.5 (-275) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+230)
Logan Driscoll 0.5 (-110) 0.5 (-110) - 0.5 (+300)
Junior Caminero 0.5 (-195) 0.5 (-195) - 0.5 (+190)
Jose Caballero 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) - 0.5 (+235)
Jonathan Aranda 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) - 0.5 (+240)

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