Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27

Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27

Updated Sep. 27, 2024 7:01 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Jarren Duran and the Boston Red Sox will square off against the Tampa Bay Rays and Brandon Lowe on Friday at 7:10 p.m. ET, at Fenway Park. The Rays are listed as +106 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favorite Red Sox (-126). Boston (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under for the contest has been set at 8 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Rays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the Boston Red Sox and the Toronto Blue Jays.
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Red Sox vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

  • When: Friday, September 27, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
  • How to Watch on TV: NESN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox -126 +106 8 -110 -110 -1.5 +166 -201

Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Rays 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Red Sox 54%, Rays 46%

Red Sox vs. Rays Betting Insights

  • The Red Sox have been favorites in 76 games this season and won 40 (52.6%) of those contests.
  • Boston has a record of 31-22 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -126 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 55.8% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
  • The Rays have been underdogs in 87 games this season and have come away with the win 39 times (44.8%) in those contests.
  • This season, Tampa Bay has come away with a win 20 times in 56 chances when named as an underdog of at least +106 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Rays have an implied victory probability of 48.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
FINAL
TB 2 · BOS 1
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Tampa Bay Rays
TB
Boston Red Sox
BOS

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

  • The Red Sox were named the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers only two times over the last 10 games, and lost both matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Red Sox's record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 8
ERA 3.10
K/9 7.9

Red Sox Player Insights

  • Duran leads the Red Sox with a team-best batting average of .286.
  • Duran is 62nd in home runs and 51st in RBI among all batters in baseball.
  • Duran takes a hitting streak of six games into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .262 with three doubles, a triple, four walks and three RBI.
  • Tyler O'Neill's 31 home runs pace his team.
  • Ceddanne Rafaela is hitting .245 with 23 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 15 walks.
  • Masataka Yoshida has 21 doubles, 10 home runs and 27 walks while batting .283.

Red Sox Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 (-280) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+185)
Vaughn Grissom 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+155) - 0.5 (+210)
Jarren Duran 1.5 (+150) 1.5 (-135) - 0.5 (+175)
Trevor Story 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+170)
Nick Sogard 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (-135) - 0.5 (+265)

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Rays matchup on Fox Sports.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

  • The Rays have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
  • The Rays and their opponents have combined to hit the over just once in their last 10 games with a total.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Rays are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 2.4
HR 10
ERA 2.62
K/9 11.2

Rays Player Insights

  • The Rays are led in runs batted in by Yandy Diaz with a mark of 65, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .282.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Diaz is 137th in homers and 85th in RBI.
  • Lowe's 21 home runs are a team-high total.
  • Lowe is 62nd in home runs and 114th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
  • Christopher Morel has 21 home runs, best in the lineup.
  • Jose Caballero is batting .228 with 24 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 27 walks.

Rays Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Junior Caminero 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+165)
Jonny Deluca 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+215)
Brandon Lowe 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+190)
Josh Lowe 0.5 (-190) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+195)
Yandy Díaz 1.5 (+155) 1.5 (-105) - 0.5 (+170)

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the Boston Red Sox and the Toronto Blue Jays.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Boston Red Sox
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