Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27

Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27

Updated Sep. 27, 2024 6:02 a.m. ET

Jarren Duran and the Boston Red Sox will play Yandy Diaz and the Tampa Bay Rays on Friday at Fenway Park, at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Rays have been listed as +113 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favored Red Sox (-134). Boston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 8 runs for the game.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Rays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Red Sox vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

  • When: Friday, September 27, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
  • How to Watch on TV: NESN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox -134 +113 8 -108 -112 -1.5 +159 -191

Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Rays 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Red Sox 54%, Rays 46%

Red Sox vs. Rays Betting Insights

  • The Red Sox have entered the game as favorites 76 times this season and won 40, or 52.6%, of those games.
  • Boston has entered 42 games this season favored by -134 or more and is 26-16 in those contests.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 57.3% chance to win.
  • The Rays have been chosen as underdogs in 87 games this year and have walked away with the win 39 times (44.8%) in those games.
  • This year, Tampa Bay has won 15 of 43 games when listed as at least +113 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rays have a 46.9% chance of walking away with the win.
Fri 11:10 PM
NESN
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Tampa Bay Rays
TB
Boston Red Sox
BOS

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

  • The Red Sox were named the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers only twice over the last 10 games, and lost both matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Red Sox combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total four times.
  • The Red Sox have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 8
ERA 3.10
K/9 7.9

Red Sox Player Insights

  • Duran is the Red Sox best hitter thus far this season, hitting at a team-leading .286 rate along with 21 homers and 75 RBI.
  • Duran ranks 62nd in home runs and 51st in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Duran has collected a hit in six games in a row. In his last 10 games he is hitting .262 with three doubles, a triple, four walks and three RBI.
  • Tyler O'Neill has hit 31 home runs to pace his team.
  • Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .245 with 23 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 15 walks.
  • Masataka Yoshida is batting .283 with 21 doubles, 10 home runs and 27 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Vaughn Grissom 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+150) - 0.5 (+225)
Jarren Duran 1.5 (+150) 1.5 (-130) - 0.5 (+175)
Nick Sogard 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) - 0.5 (+280)
Ceddanne Rafaela 0.5 (-180) 0.5 (-180) - 0.5 (+220)
Triston Casas 0.5 (-160) 0.5 (-160) - 0.5 (+200)

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Rays matchup on Fox Sports.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

  • In seven games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Rays had a record of 3-4.
  • The Rays and their opponents have combined to hit the over just once in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Rays are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 2.4
HR 10
ERA 2.62
K/9 11.2

Rays Player Insights

  • Diaz has posted a team-high batting average of .282 while pacing the Rays in runs batted in with a mark of 65.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Diaz's home run total is 137th and his RBI tally is 85th.
  • Brandon Lowe's 21 home runs pace his team.
  • Lowe is currently 62nd in homers and 114th in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Christopher Morel leads the Rays with 21 long balls.
  • Jose Caballero has 24 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 27 walks while batting .228.

Rays Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Junior Caminero 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+170)
Brandon Lowe 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+205)
Josh Lowe 0.5 (-190) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+200)
Yandy Díaz 1.5 (+145) 1.5 (-105) - 0.5 (+165)
Jonny Deluca 0.5 (-200) 0.5 (-200) - 0.5 (+210)

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the Boston Red Sox and the Toronto Blue Jays.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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