Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28

Updated Sep. 28, 2024 4:01 p.m. ET

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Brandon Lowe and the Tampa Bay Rays will take the field on Saturday at Fenway Park against Kutter Crawford, who starts for the Boston Red Sox. First pitch will be at 4:10 p.m. ET. The favored Red Sox have -122 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Rays, who are listed at +102. Boston is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the contest is listed at 7.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Rays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Red Sox vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 4:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to Watch on TV: NESN

Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Rays 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 54%, Rays 46%

Red Sox vs. Rays Betting Insights

• This season, the Red Sox have won 40 out of the 77 games, or 51.9%, in which they've been favored.
• This season Boston has won 32 of its 58 games, or 55.2%, when favored by at least -122 on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 55% chance to win.
• The Rays have been chosen as underdogs in 88 games this year and have walked away with the win 40 times (45.5%) in those games.
• This season, Tampa Bay has been victorious 24 times in 61 chances when named as an underdog of at least +102 or worse on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 49.5% chance of pulling out a win.

FINAL

TB 7 · BOS 2

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Tampa Bay Rays

TB

+1.5

+102

O 7.5

Boston Red Sox

BOS

-1.5

-122

U 7.5

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox did not win a game while favored on the moneyline over the last 10 games in three tries.
• In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Red Sox and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total four times.
• The Red Sox's ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran has accumulated a team-best batting average of .286.
• Of all hitters in MLB, Duran ranks 63rd in home runs and 52nd in RBI.
• Duran carries a seven-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .268 with three doubles, a triple, four walks and three RBI.
• Tyler O'Neill's 31 home runs pace his team.
• Ceddanne Rafaela is hitting .244 with 23 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 15 walks.
• Masataka Yoshida has 21 doubles, 10 home runs and 27 walks while batting .280.

Red Sox Team Props

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Rays matchup on Fox Sports.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Rays had a record of 4-3.
• The Rays and their opponents have combined to hit the over just once in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Rays have won seven of their last 10 games against the spread.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Yandy Diaz leads the Rays with 65 runs batted in while putting up a team-best batting average of .280.
• In all of the majors, Diaz ranks 139th in home runs and 85th in RBI.
• Lowe has collected a team-best 21 home runs.
• Among all major league hitters, Lowe is 63rd in homers and 115th in RBI.
• Christopher Morel has 21 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
• Jose Caballero has 24 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 27 walks while batting .227.

Rays Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox - 09/28/2024

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