Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28

Updated Sep. 28, 2024 3:01 a.m. ET

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Kutter Crawford and Shane Baz are the projected starters when the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays square off on Saturday at Fenway Park. The Rays are +106 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the Red Sox (-126). Boston is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +169 odds). An 8-run over/under is set for the matchup.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Rays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Red Sox vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 4:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to Watch on TV: NESN

Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Rays 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 54%, Rays 46%

Red Sox vs. Rays Betting Insights

• The Red Sox have won 40, or 51.9%, of the 77 games they've played as favorites this season.
• This season Boston has won 31 of its 53 games, or 58.5%, when favored by at least -126 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 55.8%.
• The Rays have won in 40, or 45.5%, of the 88 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Tampa Bay has a mark of 20-36 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +106 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rays have a 48.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Sat 8:10 PM

MLBN

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Tampa Bay Rays

TB

+1.5

+106

O 8

Boston Red Sox

BOS

-1.5

-126

U 8

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox did not win a game as the moneyline favorite in the last 10 games in three tries.
• Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Red Sox and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total four times.
• The Red Sox's record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran paces the Red Sox with a team-high batting average of .286.
• Of all batters in MLB, Duran ranks 63rd in homers and 52nd in RBI.
• Duran takes a hitting streak of seven games into this game. During his last 10 games he is batting .268 with three doubles, a triple, four walks and three RBI.
• Tyler O'Neill's 31 home runs lead his team.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has 23 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 15 walks while hitting .244.
• Masataka Yoshida is batting .280 with 21 doubles, 10 home runs and 27 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Rays matchup on Fox Sports.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Rays have a record of 4-3.
• The Rays and their opponents have combined to hit the over just once in their last 10 games with a total.
• Over their last 10 games, the Rays are 7-3-0 against the spread.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Yandy Diaz leads the Rays with 65 runs batted in while putting up a team-high batting average of .280.
• In all of the majors, Diaz ranks 139th in home runs and 85th in RBI.
• Brandon Lowe's 21 home runs lead his team.
• Lowe is 63rd overall in home runs and 115th in RBI this year.
• Christopher Morel has 21 home runs, best in the lineup.
• Jose Caballero is hitting .227 with 24 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 27 walks.

Rays Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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