Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 29

Updated Sep. 29, 2024 3:01 p.m. ET

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Yandy Diaz will lead the Tampa Bay Rays into a matchup with Triston Casas and the Boston Red Sox on Sunday at 3:05 p.m. ET, in the final game of a three-game series at Fenway Park. The favored Red Sox have -110 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Rays, who are listed at -110. Tampa Bay is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +150 odds). An 8-run total has been set in this contest.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Rays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Benches clear between Phillies and Rays after Nick Castellanos is HBP

Benches clear between Philadelphia Phillies and Tampa Bays Rays after Nick Castellanos is hit by pitch

Red Sox vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, September 29, 2024 at 3:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to Watch on TV: BSSUN

Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Rays 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 53%, Rays 47%

Red Sox vs. Rays Betting Insights

• This season, the Red Sox have won 40 out of the 78 games, or 51.3%, in which they've been favored.
• Boston has a record of 40-40 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -110 on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 52.4% chance to win.
• The Rays have been chosen as underdogs in 89 games this year and have walked away with the win 41 times (46.1%) in those games.
• This year, Tampa Bay has won 41 of 89 games when listed as at least -110 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rays have a 52.4% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

TB 1 · BOS 3

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Tampa Bay Rays

TB

-1.5

-111

O 8

Boston Red Sox

BOS

+1.5

-110

U 8

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox did not win a game while favored on the moneyline over the last 10 games in three tries.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
• The Red Sox's ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran is the Red Sox best hitter thus far this season, hitting at a team-leading .285 clip along with 21 homers and 75 RBI.
• Duran's home runs place him 64th in MLB, and he is 52nd in RBI.
• Tyler O'Neill has hit 31 home runs to pace his team.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has 23 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 15 walks while batting .244.
• Masataka Yoshida has 21 doubles, 10 home runs and 27 walks while batting .280.

Red Sox Team Props

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Rays matchup on Fox Sports.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Rays and their opponents are 1-8-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Rays have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• The Rays are led in runs batted in by Diaz with a mark of 65, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .281.
• Diaz is 142nd in homers and 86th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Brandon Lowe's 21 home runs pace his team.
• Lowe is 64th overall in home runs and 117th in RBI this year.
• Christopher Morel has 21 home runs, best in the lineup.
• Jose Caballero is hitting .227 with 24 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 27 walks.

Rays Team Props

Benches clear between Phillies and Rays after Nick Castellanos is HBP

Benches clear between Philadelphia Phillies and Tampa Bays Rays after Nick Castellanos is hit by pitch

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox - 09/29/2024

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