Red Sox vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 21

Red Sox vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 21

Updated Jun. 21, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

Jeimer Candelario and Tyler O'Neill take the field when the Cincinnati Reds and Boston Red Sox meet on Friday at Great American Ball Park. The Red Sox are listed as -114 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Reds (-105). Boston (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under is 9 runs for this contest (with -117 odds to hit the over and -103 odds to go under).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Reds game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Boston Red Sox and the Toronto Blue Jays on Wednesday, June 19.
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Red Sox vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

  • When: Friday, June 21, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
  • Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
  • How to Watch on TV: BSOH
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox -114 -105 9 -117 -103 -1.5 +138 -163

Red Sox vs. Reds Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Reds 4, Red Sox 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Red Sox 52%, Reds 48%

Red Sox vs. Reds Betting Insights

  • The Red Sox have won 19, or 55.9%, of the 34 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Boston has a record of 18-14, a 56.2% win rate, when favored by -114 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 53.3% chance to win.
  • The Reds have been victorious in 15, or 36.6%, of the 41 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win 14 times in 38 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 51.2% chance of pulling out a win.
FINAL
BOS 2 · CIN 5
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Boston Red Sox
BOS
Cincinnati Reds
CIN

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

  • The Red Sox have been listed as the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers just two times in the last 10 games, and won both matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Red Sox and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times.
  • The Red Sox are 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 6
HR 10
ERA 3.56
K/9 9.8

Red Sox Player Insights

  • Jarren Duran is batting .277 with 21 doubles, 10 triples, six home runs and 30 walks.
  • Duran's home runs put him 141st in the majors, and he ranks 77th in RBI.
  • Duran brings a hitting streak of 10 games into this game. In his last 10 games he is hitting .364 with four doubles, a triple, a home run, five walks and six RBI.
  • Rafael Devers is hitting .278 to lead his team.
  • Devers ranks 20th in homers and 46th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • Ceddanne Rafaela paces the Red Sox with 41 runs batted in.
  • Rafaela has at least one base hit in seven straight games. In his last 10 outings he is batting .459 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and four RBI.
  • O'Neill's 15 home runs pace his team.

Red Sox Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Connor Wong 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+360) 0.5 (+160)
Rob Refsnyder 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+180)
Romy Gonzalez 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+170)
Tyler O'Neill 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+225) 0.5 (+120)
Rafael Devers 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+310) 0.5 (+125)

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Reds matchup on Fox Sports.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

  • In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Reds have a record of 1-5.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Reds and their opponents have failed to hit the over nine times.
  • The Reds have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 2.7
HR 10
ERA 3.14
K/9 8.8

Reds Player Insights

  • Elly De La Cruz has swatted a team-leading 12 long balls.
  • Among all batters in MLB, De La Cruz is 33rd in homers and 87th in RBI.
  • Spencer Steer has racked up 43 runs batted in to pace his team.
  • Steer ranks 93rd in home runs and 27th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Candelario paces the Reds with 12 long balls while accruing a team-high batting average of .251.
  • Jonathan India is batting .240 with seven doubles, a triple, four home runs and 35 walks.

Reds Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
TJ Friedl 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+220)
Jeimer Candelario 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+340) 0.5 (+130)
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+360) 0.5 (+185)
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+175)
Spencer Steer 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+150)

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Boston Red Sox and the Toronto Blue Jays on Wednesday, June 19.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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