The Boston Red Sox and Justin Turner will square off against the Kansas City Royals and Bobby Witt Jr. on Thursday at 7:10 PM ET in the final game of a four-game series at Fenway Park. The Royals have been listed as +191 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the Red Sox (-232). Boston is favored on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 10.5 runs for this contest (with -110 odds on the over and -110 odds on the under).
The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Boston Red Sox looking to James Paxton (6-3), and Austin Cox (0-1) taking the ball for the Kansas City Royals.
Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):
Red Sox vs. Royals Game Information & Odds
- When: Thursday, August 10, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
- Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
- How to Watch on TV: NESN
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -232 | +191 | 10.5 | -110 | -110 | -1.5 | -124 | +104 |
Red Sox vs. Royals Prediction
- Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Royals 4
- Total Prediction: Under 10.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Red Sox 58%, Royals 42%
Red Sox vs. Royals Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have won 28, or 52.8%, of the 53 games they've played as favorites this season.
- This season Boston has won two of its three games when favored by at least -232 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 69.9%.
- The Royals have been victorious in 33, or 32.7%, of the 101 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Kansas City has a mark of 6-13 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +191 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Royals have an implied victory probability of 34.4% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
Red Sox Recent Betting Performance
- The Red Sox were favored on the moneyline in six of their last 10 games, and they finished 2-4 in those matchups.
- Over their last 10 matchups, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
- The Red Sox have a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.
Red Sox Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 5.76 |
| K/9 | 8 |
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Red Sox Player Insights
- Rafael Devers paces the Red Sox with 26 home runs and 79 runs batted in.
- Devers is 10th in homers and ninth in RBI among all batters in the majors.
- Turner has 25 doubles, 17 home runs and 39 walks while batting .284.
- Turner is 63rd in homers and 21st in RBI on the year.
- Masataka Yoshida paces the Red Sox with a team-best batting average of .304.
- Alex Verdugo has 29 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 39 walks while hitting .275.
- Verdugo takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .357 with two doubles, a walk and two RBI.
Red Sox Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Duvall | 1.5 (+190) | 1.5 (-130) | 0.5 (+275) | 0.5 (+100) |
| Trevor Story | 0.5 (-244) | 1.5 (+105) | 0.5 (+340) | 0.5 (+135) |
| Rafael Devers | 1.5 (+175) | 1.5 (-130) | 0.5 (+340) | 0.5 (+140) |
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 (-238) | 1.5 (+135) | 0.5 (+850) | 0.5 (+180) |
| Pablo Reyes | 1.5 (+180) | 1.5 (+100) | 0.5 (+500) | 0.5 (+175) |
Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.
Royals Recent Betting Performance
- The Royals have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
- The Royals have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.
Royals Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.33 |
| K/9 | 7.2 |
Royals Player Insights
- Witt Jr. paces the Royals with 20 home runs and 68 runs batted in, while recording a team-high batting average of .269.
- In all of the big leagues, Witt Jr. is 33rd in homers and 28th in RBI.
- Witt Jr. has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .263 with a double, a home run, three walks and four RBI.
- Salvador Perez is batting .246 with 18 doubles, 17 home runs and 16 walks.
- Perez ranks 63rd overall in homers and 111th in RBI this season.
- Maikel Garcia is batting .278 with 15 doubles, two triples, four home runs and 24 walks.
- MJ Melendez is batting .223 with 21 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 42 walks.
Royals Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salvador Pérez | 0.5 (-233) | 1.5 (+100) | 0.5 (+285) | 0.5 (+125) |
| Edward Olivares | 0.5 (-233) | 1.5 (+120) | 0.5 (+550) | 0.5 (+190) |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 (-208) | 1.5 (+125) | 0.5 (+550) | 0.5 (+185) |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 1.5 (+170) | 1.5 (-120) | 0.5 (+390) | 0.5 (+135) |
| Michael Massey | 0.5 (-238) | 1.5 (+120) | 0.5 (+600) | 0.5 (+160) |
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