Red Sox vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 10

Updated Aug. 10, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Boston Red Sox and Justin Turner will square off against the Kansas City Royals and Bobby Witt Jr. on Thursday at 7:10 PM ET in the final game of a four-game series at Fenway Park. The Royals have been listed as +191 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the Red Sox (-232). Boston is favored on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 10.5 runs for this contest (with -110 odds on the over and -110 odds on the under).

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Boston Red Sox looking to James Paxton (6-3), and Austin Cox (0-1) taking the ball for the Kansas City Royals.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Red Sox vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, August 10, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
How to Watch on TV: NESN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox	-232	+191	10.5	-110	-110	-1.5	-124	+104

Red Sox vs. Royals Prediction

Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Royals 4
Total Prediction: Under 10.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Red Sox 58%, Royals 42%

Red Sox vs. Royals Betting Insights

The Red Sox have won 28, or 52.8%, of the 53 games they've played as favorites this season.
This season Boston has won two of its three games when favored by at least -232 on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 69.9%.
The Royals have been victorious in 33, or 32.7%, of the 101 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
Kansas City has a mark of 6-13 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +191 or worse on the moneyline.
The Royals have an implied victory probability of 34.4% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

The Red Sox were favored on the moneyline in six of their last 10 games, and they finished 2-4 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Red Sox have a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.5
HR	12
ERA	5.76
K/9	8

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Red Sox Player Insights

Rafael Devers paces the Red Sox with 26 home runs and 79 runs batted in.
Devers is 10th in homers and ninth in RBI among all batters in the majors.
Turner has 25 doubles, 17 home runs and 39 walks while batting .284.
Turner is 63rd in homers and 21st in RBI on the year.
Masataka Yoshida paces the Red Sox with a team-best batting average of .304.
Alex Verdugo has 29 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 39 walks while hitting .275.
Verdugo takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .357 with two doubles, a walk and two RBI.

Red Sox Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Adam Duvall	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (-130)	0.5 (+275)	0.5 (+100)
Trevor Story	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (+135)
Rafael Devers	1.5 (+175)	1.5 (-130)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (+140)
Alex Verdugo	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+180)
Pablo Reyes	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+175)

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

The Royals have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
The Royals have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.3
HR	15
ERA	4.33
K/9	7.2

Royals Player Insights

Witt Jr. paces the Royals with 20 home runs and 68 runs batted in, while recording a team-high batting average of .269.
In all of the big leagues, Witt Jr. is 33rd in homers and 28th in RBI.
Witt Jr. has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .263 with a double, a home run, three walks and four RBI.
Salvador Perez is batting .246 with 18 doubles, 17 home runs and 16 walks.
Perez ranks 63rd overall in homers and 111th in RBI this season.
Maikel Garcia is batting .278 with 15 doubles, two triples, four home runs and 24 walks.
MJ Melendez is batting .223 with 21 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 42 walks.

Royals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Salvador Pérez	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+285)	0.5 (+125)
Edward Olivares	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+190)
MJ Melendez	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+185)
Bobby Witt Jr.	1.5 (+170)	1.5 (-120)	0.5 (+390)	0.5 (+135)
Michael Massey	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+160)

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