The Boston Red Sox and Justin Turner ready for the first of a four-game series against Salvador Perez and the Kansas City Royals on Monday at Fenway Park. The Royals are +166 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favorite Red Sox (-198). Boston is favored on the run line (-1.5 with -102 odds). The over/under is 9.5 runs for this matchup (with -111 odds to go over and -109 odds on the under).
The Boston Red Sox will give the start to Brayan Bello (8-6, 3.79 ERA), who is looking for win No. 9 on the season, and the Royals will turn to Cole Ragans (3-3, 4.33 ERA).
Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):
Red Sox vs. Royals Game Information & Odds
- When: Monday, August 7, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
- Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
- How to Watch on TV: NESN
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -198 | +166 | 9.5 | -111 | -109 | -1.5 | -102 | -118 |
Red Sox vs. Royals Prediction
- Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Royals 3
- Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Red Sox 59%, Royals 41%
Red Sox vs. Royals Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have entered the game as favorites 50 times this season and won 26, or 52%, of those games.
- Boston has a record of 3-3 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -198 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 66.4%.
- The Royals have come away with 32 wins in the 98 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Kansas City has a win-loss record of 11-24 when favored by +166 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 37.6% chance of walking away with the win.
Red Sox Recent Betting Performance
- The Red Sox did not win a game while favored on the moneyline over the last 10 games in four tries.
- Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Red Sox combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total four times.
- The Red Sox's ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.
Red Sox Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.2 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.22 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
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Red Sox Player Insights
- Turner has 25 doubles, 17 home runs and 39 walks while batting .287.
- In all of MLB, Turner ranks 56th in homers and 14th in RBI.
- Turner carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .316 with a double, a home run, a walk and five RBI.
- Rafael Devers' 26 home runs and 79 runs batted in are both team-highs.
- Among all major league batters, Devers is ninth in homers and fifth in RBI.
- Devers carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .286 with a double, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
- Masataka Yoshida leads the Red Sox with a .306 batting average.
- Yoshida will look to build on his five-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with three doubles and an RBI.
- Alex Verdugo is hitting .275 with 27 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 38 walks.
Red Sox Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 (-238) | 1.5 (+140) | 0.5 (+950) | 0.5 (+185) |
| Rafael Devers | 1.5 (+190) | 1.5 (-105) | 0.5 (+400) | 0.5 (+110) |
| Justin Turner | 1.5 (+180) | 1.5 (-105) | 0.5 (+425) | 0.5 (+120) |
| Adam Duvall | 0.5 (-270) | 1.5 (-115) | 0.5 (+275) | 0.5 (+110) |
| Rob Refsnyder | 1.5 (+200) | 1.5 (+115) | 0.5 (+600) | 0.5 (+195) |
Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.
Royals Recent Betting Performance
- The Royals have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won six of those contests.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over eight times.
- Over their last 10 games, the Royals are 7-3-0 against the spread.
Royals Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.96 |
| K/9 | 7.4 |
Royals Player Insights
- Bobby Witt Jr. paces the Royals with 20 home runs and 67 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .268.
- Among all hitters in the big leagues, Witt Jr.'s home run total ranks 31st and his RBI tally ranks 25th.
- Perez is hitting .246 with 18 doubles, 17 home runs and 15 walks.
- Perez ranks 56th in homers and 108th in RBI among all major league batters this year.
- Maikel Garcia has 15 doubles, two triples, four home runs and 22 walks while hitting .279.
- MJ Melendez is hitting .214 with 21 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 41 walks.
Royals Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 1.5 (+180) | 1.5 (+105) | 0.5 (+600) | 0.5 (+170) |
| Maikel Garcia | 1.5 (+150) | 1.5 (+100) | 0.5 (+900) | 0.5 (+185) |
| Salvador Pérez | 1.5 (+205) | 1.5 (+110) | 0.5 (+425) | 0.5 (+130) |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 (-238) | 1.5 (+105) | 0.5 (+400) | 0.5 (+130) |
| Michael Massey | 0.5 (-250) | 1.5 (+125) | 0.5 (+550) | 0.5 (+145) |
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