Red Sox vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 7

Updated Aug. 7, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Boston Red Sox and Justin Turner ready for the first of a four-game series against Salvador Perez and the Kansas City Royals on Monday at Fenway Park. The Royals are +166 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favorite Red Sox (-198). Boston is favored on the run line (-1.5 with -102 odds). The over/under is 9.5 runs for this matchup (with -111 odds to go over and -109 odds on the under).

The Boston Red Sox will give the start to Brayan Bello (8-6, 3.79 ERA), who is looking for win No. 9 on the season, and the Royals will turn to Cole Ragans (3-3, 4.33 ERA).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Red Sox vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, August 7, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
How to Watch on TV: NESN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox	-198	+166	9.5	-111	-109	-1.5	-102	-118

Red Sox vs. Royals Prediction

Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Royals 3
Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Red Sox 59%, Royals 41%

Red Sox vs. Royals Betting Insights

The Red Sox have entered the game as favorites 50 times this season and won 26, or 52%, of those games.
Boston has a record of 3-3 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -198 on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 66.4%.
The Royals have come away with 32 wins in the 98 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
Kansas City has a win-loss record of 11-24 when favored by +166 or worse by bookmakers this year.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 37.6% chance of walking away with the win.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

The Red Sox did not win a game while favored on the moneyline over the last 10 games in four tries.
Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Red Sox combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total four times.
The Red Sox's ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.2
HR	13
ERA	5.22
K/9	8.2

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Red Sox Player Insights

Turner has 25 doubles, 17 home runs and 39 walks while batting .287.
In all of MLB, Turner ranks 56th in homers and 14th in RBI.
Turner carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .316 with a double, a home run, a walk and five RBI.
Rafael Devers' 26 home runs and 79 runs batted in are both team-highs.
Among all major league batters, Devers is ninth in homers and fifth in RBI.
Devers carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .286 with a double, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
Masataka Yoshida leads the Red Sox with a .306 batting average.
Yoshida will look to build on his five-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with three doubles and an RBI.
Alex Verdugo is hitting .275 with 27 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 38 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Alex Verdugo	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+950)	0.5 (+185)
Rafael Devers	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+110)
Justin Turner	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+120)
Adam Duvall	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (-115)	0.5 (+275)	0.5 (+110)
Rob Refsnyder	1.5 (+200)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+195)

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

The Royals have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won six of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over eight times.
Over their last 10 games, the Royals are 7-3-0 against the spread.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	6
HR	14
ERA	4.96
K/9	7.4

Royals Player Insights

Bobby Witt Jr. paces the Royals with 20 home runs and 67 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .268.
Among all hitters in the big leagues, Witt Jr.'s home run total ranks 31st and his RBI tally ranks 25th.
Perez is hitting .246 with 18 doubles, 17 home runs and 15 walks.
Perez ranks 56th in homers and 108th in RBI among all major league batters this year.
Maikel Garcia has 15 doubles, two triples, four home runs and 22 walks while hitting .279.
MJ Melendez is hitting .214 with 21 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 41 walks.

Royals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Bobby Witt Jr.	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+170)
Maikel Garcia	1.5 (+150)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+185)
Salvador Pérez	1.5 (+205)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+130)
MJ Melendez	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+130)
Michael Massey	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+145)

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