Red Sox vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 9

Updated Aug. 9, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Jordan Lyles takes the mound for the Kansas City Royals on Wednesday at Fenway Park against Justin Turner and the Boston Red Sox. First pitch is at 7:10 PM ET. The favored Red Sox have -233 moneyline odds against the underdog Royals, who are listed at +191. Boston is a 1.5-run favorite (at -119 odds). The total is 10.5 runs for the contest.

The Boston Red Sox will hand the ball to Nick Pivetta (7-6, 4.19 ERA), who is looking for win No. 8 on the season, and the Royals will turn to Lyles (3-12, 6.16 ERA).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Red Sox vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, August 9, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
How to Watch on TV: NESN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox	-233	+191	10.5	-123	+103	-1.5	-119	-101

Red Sox vs. Royals Prediction

Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Royals 4
Total Prediction: Under 10.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Red Sox 58%, Royals 42%

Red Sox vs. Royals Betting Insights

The Red Sox have won 27, or 51.9%, of the 52 games they've played as favorites this season.
Boston has played as favorites of -233 or more twice this season and won both games.
The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 70% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
The Royals have come away with 33 wins in the 100 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This season, Kansas City has been victorious six times in 19 chances when named as an underdog of at least +191 or worse on the moneyline.
The Royals have an implied victory probability of 34.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

The Red Sox have a 1-5 record across the six games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Red Sox and their opponents combined to hit the over five times.
The Red Sox's record against the spread is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	2-8
Runs Per Game	3.3
HR	11
ERA	5.83
K/9	7.7

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Red Sox Player Insights

Turner has 25 doubles, 17 home runs and 39 walks while hitting .284.
Among all hitters in the majors, Turner's home run total places him 58th, and his RBI tally ranks him 19th.
Rafael Devers' 26 home runs and 79 runs batted in are both team-highs.
Devers is 10th in home runs and eighth in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Masataka Yoshida has racked up a team-high batting average of .304.
Alex Verdugo is hitting .274 with 28 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 39 walks.

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

In nine games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Royals had a record of 6-3.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents are 7-3-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Royals have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	6
HR	14
ERA	4.59
K/9	7.6

Royals Player Insights

Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals in home runs (20), runs batted in (68) and has put up a team-high batting average of .268.
Witt Jr. is 32nd in home runs and 26th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
Salvador Perez is hitting .249 with 18 doubles, 17 home runs and 16 walks.
Perez ranks 58th in homers and 109th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
Maikel Garcia is hitting .278 with 15 doubles, two triples, four home runs and 23 walks.
MJ Melendez is hitting .220 with 21 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 42 walks.

Royals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Bobby Witt Jr.	1.5 (+170)	1.5 (-115)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+130)
Michael Massey	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+130)
Salvador Pérez	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+290)	0.5 (+110)
MJ Melendez	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+360)	0.5 (+155)
Maikel Garcia	1.5 (+140)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+185)

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