Red Sox vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 13

Red Sox vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 13

Updated Jul. 13, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Boston Red Sox and Kansas City Royals will meet on Saturday at Fenway Park, at 4:10 PM ET, with Jarren Duran and Vinnie Pasquantino among those expected to deliver at the plate. The favored Red Sox have -133 moneyline odds against the underdog Royals, who are listed at +113. Boston (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The total is 8.5 runs for this game (with -121 odds to go over and +101 odds on the under).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Check out the highlights as the Seattle Mariners took on the Kansas City Royals in this regular season matchup.
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Red Sox vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, July 13, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET
  • Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
  • How to Watch on TV: NESN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox -133 +113 8.5 -121 +101 -1.5 +150 -181

Red Sox vs. Royals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Royals 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Red Sox 52%, Royals 48%

Red Sox vs. Royals Betting Insights

  • The Red Sox have won 27, or 57.4%, of the 47 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Boston has entered 26 games this season favored by -133 or more and is 17-9 in those contests.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 57.1% chance to win.
  • The Royals have won in 26, or 47.3%, of the 55 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, Kansas City has come away with a win nine times in 26 chances when named as an underdog of at least +113 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Royals have an implied victory probability of 46.9% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
FINAL
KC 0 · BOS 5
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Kansas City Royals
KC
Boston Red Sox
BOS

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

  • The Red Sox played as the moneyline favorite in six of their last 10 games, and they went 5-1 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Red Sox's ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.5
HR 15
ERA 3.68
K/9 8.8

Red Sox Player Insights

  • Rafael Devers' 21 long balls and 58 RBI both lead the Red Sox, on top of his team-high .289 average.
  • Devers' home runs rank him 10th in the majors, and he is 21st in RBI.
  • Duran has 25 doubles, 10 triples, 10 home runs and 34 walks while batting .275.
  • Duran is 101st in home runs and 82nd in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .248 with 16 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 11 walks.
  • Tyler O'Neill has 12 doubles, 16 home runs and 34 walks while batting .252.

Red Sox Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+165)
Jarren Duran 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (-115) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+175)
David Hamilton 0.5 (-195) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+190)
Connor Wong 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+185)
Rob Refsnyder 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+190)

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

  • The Royals have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and have gone 3-1 in those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
  • The Royals have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 14
ERA 3.58
K/9 9.5

Royals Player Insights

  • Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals with 16 home runs and 63 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .327.
  • Witt's home run total places him 27th in MLB, and he ranks ninth in RBI.
  • Witt carries a 10-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is hitting .500 with three doubles, a triple, four home runs, a walk and 10 RBI.
  • Pasquantino is hitting .249 with 22 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 32 walks.
  • Pasquantino is currently 87th in home runs and 11th in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Salvador Perez has 16 home runs, best in the lineup.
  • Maikel Garcia is hitting .230 with 15 doubles, five triples, six home runs and 28 walks.

Royals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
MJ Melendez 0.5 (-170) 1.5 () 0.5 (+350) 0.5 (+185)
Bobby Witt Jr. 1.5 (+145) 1.5 (-145) 0.5 (+350) 0.5 (+135)
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 (-195) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+180)
Salvador Pérez 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+280) 0.5 (+120)
Michael Massey 0.5 (-180) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+210)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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