Red Sox vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 3

Updated Sep. 3, 2023 2:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Boston Red Sox and Adam Duvall ready for the final of a three-game series against Salvador Perez and the Kansas City Royals on Sunday at Kauffman Stadium. The favored Red Sox have -194 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Royals, who are listed at +164. Boston (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under is 10 runs for the contest.

The Boston Red Sox will give the start to Chris Sale (5-3, 4.75 ERA), who is looking for win No. 6 on the season, and the Royals will turn to Taylor Clarke (2-4, 5.44 ERA).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Red Sox vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, September 3, 2023 at 2:10 PM ET
Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
How to Watch on TV: BSKC

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox	-194	+164	10	-115	-105	-1.5	-124	+104

Red Sox vs. Royals Prediction

Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Royals 4
Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
Win Probabilities: Red Sox 54%, Royals 46%

Red Sox vs. Royals Betting Insights

This season, the Red Sox have been favored 65 times and won 34, or 52.3%, of those games.
Boston is 6-5 this season when entering a game favored by -194 or more on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 66% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
The Royals have come away with 37 wins in the 118 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
Kansas City has a win-loss record of 12-36 when favored by +164 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 37.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

The Red Sox were the moneyline favorite for four of their last 10 games, and they went 1-3 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the run total nine times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Red Sox have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	6.2
HR	16
ERA	6.70
K/9	8.7

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Red Sox Player Insights

Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox with 29 home runs and 90 runs batted in.
Of all hitters in baseball, Devers' home run total places him 15th, and his RBI tally ranks him eighth.
Devers carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .200 with two doubles and two RBI.
Justin Turner has 27 doubles, 22 home runs and 44 walks while batting .286.
Including all MLB batters, Turner ranks 39th in homers and 13th in RBI.
Masataka Yoshida has a team-best batting average of .294.
Alex Verdugo is hitting .278 with 34 doubles, five triples, 13 home runs and 42 walks.
Verdugo has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .273 with a double, a triple, a home run, a walk and two RBI.

Red Sox Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Alex Verdugo	1.5 (+160)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+175)
Triston Casas	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+140)
Rafael Devers	1.5 (+165)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+360)	0.5 (+145)
Adam Duvall	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+300)	0.5 (+115)
Trevor Story	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+160)

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

The Royals have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
Over their last 10 games, the Royals are 3-7-0 against the spread.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	2-8
Runs Per Game	3.9
HR	11
ERA	5.76
K/9	9.7

Royals Player Insights

Bobby Witt Jr. leads the lineup with a batting average of .276, while pacing the Royals in home runs, with 28 and runs batted in with 84.
Among all hitters in MLB, Witt Jr. is 17th in home runs and 19th in RBI.
Perez is hitting .247 with 19 doubles, 21 home runs and 18 walks.
Among all major league batters, Perez ranks 51st in homers and 85th in RBI.
Maikel Garcia has 18 doubles, three triples, four home runs and 29 walks while hitting .281.
MJ Melendez is hitting .236 with 28 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 46 walks.

Royals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Bobby Witt Jr.	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+145)
Edward Olivares	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+170)
Maikel Garcia	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+185)
Salvador Pérez	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+390)	0.5 (+140)
Nelson Velazquez	0.5 (-175)	0.5 (-175)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+200)