Red Sox vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 11

Red Sox vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 11

Updated Aug. 11, 2023 7:01 p.m. ET

Riley Greene and the Detroit Tigers will try to knock off Rafael Devers and the Boston Red Sox when the teams square off on Friday at 7:10 PM ET. The favored Red Sox have -135 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Tigers, who are listed at +115. Boston is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The contest's total is set at 9 runs.

The scheduled starters are Chris Sale (5-2) for the Boston Red Sox, and Tarik Skubal (2-1) for the Detroit Tigers.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Tigers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Red Sox vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Friday, August 11, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
  • Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
  • How to Watch on TV: NESN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox -135 +115 9 -116 -104 -1.5 +142 -169

Red Sox vs. Tigers Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Tigers 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Red Sox 57%, Tigers 43%

Red Sox vs. Tigers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Red Sox have been favored 54 times and won 29, or 53.7%, of those games.
  • This season Boston has won 14 of its 26 games, or 53.8%, when favored by at least -135 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 57.4%.
  • The Tigers have won in 40, or 42.1%, of the 95 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, Detroit has come away with a win 32 times in 76 chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 46.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

  • The Red Sox were favored on the moneyline in six of their last 10 games, and they went 3-3 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times.
  • The Red Sox's record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.4
HR 10
ERA 5.63
K/9 8.7

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Red Sox Player Insights

  • The Red Sox's best power option comes in the form of Devers and his 26-dinger 79-RBI season, both team highs.
  • Devers ranks 10th in home runs and ninth in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • Justin Turner is hitting .284 with 25 doubles, 17 home runs and 39 walks.
  • Turner ranks 63rd in homers and 22nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Masataka Yoshida leads the Red Sox with a team-best batting average of .304.
  • Alex Verdugo has 29 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 39 walks while batting .273.

Red Sox Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Rob Refsnyder 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+255)
Adam Duvall 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+295) 0.5 (+135)
Trevor Story 0.5 (-189) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+165)
Rafael Devers 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+175)
Alex Verdugo 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+160) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+220)

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

  • In nine games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Tigers have a record of 4-5.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Tigers and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
  • The Tigers are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 9
ERA 4.50
K/9 9.5

Tigers Player Insights

  • Spencer Torkelson leads the Tigers with 17 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 61.
  • Torkelson's home run total places him 63rd in the big leagues, and he is 47th in RBI.
  • Greene is batting .301 with 17 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 30 walks.
  • Greene is 161st overall in home runs and 239th in RBI this season.
  • Zach McKinstry has racked up a team-best batting average of .238.
  • Javier Baez has 12 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 18 walks while batting .223.

Tigers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Matt Vierling 1.5 (+160) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+230)
Kerry Carpenter 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+215)
Riley Greene 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+205)
Miguel Cabrera 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+155) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+225)
Javier Báez 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+200)

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