Red Sox vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 12

Updated Aug. 12, 2023 4:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Brayan Bello and Matt Manning are the projected starters when the Boston Red Sox and the Detroit Tigers face off on Saturday at Fenway Park, at 4:10 PM ET. Oddsmakers list the Red Sox as -199 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Tigers +166 moneyline odds to win. Boston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The game's total has been set at 10 runs.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Boston Red Sox looking to Bello (8-6), and Manning (3-4) getting the nod for the Detroit Tigers.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Tigers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Red Sox vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, August 12, 2023 at 4:10 PM ET
Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
How to Watch on TV: NESN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox	-199	+166	10	-115	-105	-1.5	-103	-117

Red Sox vs. Tigers Prediction

Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Tigers 4
Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
Win Probabilities: Red Sox 57%, Tigers 43%

Red Sox vs. Tigers Betting Insights

This season, the Red Sox have been favored 55 times and won 30, or 54.5%, of those games.
Boston has a record of 6-3 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -199 on the moneyline.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 66.6% chance to win.
The Tigers have been victorious in 40, or 41.7%, of the 96 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This season, Detroit has been victorious 13 times in 25 chances when named as an underdog of at least +166 or longer on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 37.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

The Red Sox went 4-3 over the seven games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Red Sox have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	11
ERA	5.16
K/9	9

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Red Sox Player Insights

Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox with 26 home runs and 79 runs batted in.
In all of Major League Baseball, Devers ranks 11th in home runs and ninth in RBI.
Devers carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .167 with two doubles and a walk.
Justin Turner is hitting .284 with 25 doubles, 17 home runs and 39 walks.
Turner ranks 65th in homers and 22nd in RBI among all major league batters this year.
Masataka Yoshida leads the Red Sox with a .301 batting average.
Alex Verdugo is hitting .273 with 29 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 39 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Triston Casas	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+370)	0.5 (+120)
Justin Turner	1.5 (+155)	1.5 (-115)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+105)
Trevor Story	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+320)	0.5 (+120)
Reese McGuire	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+1100)	0.5 (+175)
Rafael Devers	1.5 (+155)	1.5 (-135)	0.5 (+330)	0.5 (-110)

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

The Tigers have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Tigers and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
Over their last 10 games, the Tigers are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Tigers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4
HR	10
ERA	4.19
K/9	9.6

Tigers Player Insights

Spencer Torkelson has a team-leading 17 home runs and has driven in 61 runs.
Among all hitters in the majors, Torkelson's home run total ranks 65th and his RBI tally is 48th.
Riley Greene has 17 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 30 walks while batting .302.
Among all MLB hitters, Greene is 165th in homers and 230th in RBI.
Zach McKinstry has put up a team-high batting average of .237.
Javier Baez is batting .221 with 12 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 18 walks.

Tigers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Javier Báez	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+190)
Zach McKinstry	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+175)
Kerry Carpenter	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+135)
Riley Greene	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+160)
Andy Ibáñez	-	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+190)

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