Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 18

Updated Aug. 18, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Pablo Reyes and the Boston Red Sox head into the first of a three-game series against Gleyber Torres and the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium, Friday at 7:05 PM ET. The Red Sox are -126 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Yankees (+106). Boston (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under is 9 runs for this matchup.

The scheduled starters are Brayan Bello (8-7) for the Boston Red Sox, and Jhony Brito (4-5) for the New York Yankees.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Yankees game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Red Sox vs. Yankees Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, August 18, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
How to Watch on TV: Apple TV+

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox	-126	+106	9	-118	-102	-1.5	+130	-154

Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction

Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Red Sox 4
Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Red Sox 54%, Yankees 46%

Red Sox vs. Yankees Betting Insights

This season, the Red Sox have been favored 60 times and won 32, or 53.3%, of those games.
Boston has a record of 21-16, a 56.8% win rate, when favored by -126 or more by oddsmakers this season.
The Red Sox have a 55.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Yankees have come away with 17 wins in the 45 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This year, New York has won 13 of 33 games when listed as at least +106 or worse on the moneyline.
The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 48.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

The Red Sox went 6-4 across the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the total two times.
The Red Sox are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.2
HR	12
ERA	4.40
K/9	9.1

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Red Sox Player Insights

Rafael Devers has gone yard 27 times in the 2023 campaign while knocking in 81 runs, both totals that lead the Red Sox.
Among all MLB hitters, Devers ranks 65th in batting average, 64th in on-base percentage, and 16th in slugging.
Justin Turner is batting .285 with 25 doubles, 19 home runs and 40 walks.
Turner is 47th in homers and 25th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
Masataka Yoshida paces the Red Sox with a .300 batting average.
Alex Verdugo is batting .271 with 29 doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 39 walks.
Verdugo has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .235 with a home run and two RBI.

Red Sox Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Rafael Devers	-	1.5 (-120)	0.5 (+295)	0.5 (+150)
Alex Verdugo	1.5 (+200)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+225)
Triston Casas	0.5 (-189)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+330)	0.5 (+145)
Justin Turner	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+195)
Jarren Duran	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+175)

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Yankees matchup on Fox Sports.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

In five games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Yankees had a record of 1-4.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Yankees and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
The Yankees have a record of 2-8-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	2-8
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	8
ERA	5.74
K/9	9.5

Yankees Player Insights

Torres has recorded a team-high batting average of .265 and leads the Yankees in runs batted in with a mark of 49.
Among all hitters in the big leagues, Torres' home run total is 58th and his RBI tally ranks 104th.
Aaron Judge has put his power on display as he paces his team with 22 home runs.
Judge ranks 26th in home runs and 124th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
Anthony Volpe is batting .213 with 14 doubles, four triples, 16 home runs and 42 walks.
Harrison Bader has 10 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 11 walks while batting .259.

Yankees Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
DJ LeMahieu	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+260)
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+250)
Gleyber Torres	1.5 (+200)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+165)
Aaron Judge	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+240)	0.5 (+150)
Giancarlo Stanton	0.5 (-189)	0.5 (-189)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+160)

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