Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 18

Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 18

Updated Aug. 18, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Pablo Reyes and the Boston Red Sox head into the first of a three-game series against Gleyber Torres and the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium, Friday at 7:05 PM ET. The Red Sox are -126 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Yankees (+106). Boston (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under is 9 runs for this matchup.

The scheduled starters are Brayan Bello (8-7) for the Boston Red Sox, and Jhony Brito (4-5) for the New York Yankees.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Yankees game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Red Sox vs. Yankees Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Friday, August 18, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
  • Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
  • How to Watch on TV: Apple TV+
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox -126 +106 9 -118 -102 -1.5 +130 -154

Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Red Sox 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Red Sox 54%, Yankees 46%

Red Sox vs. Yankees Betting Insights

  • This season, the Red Sox have been favored 60 times and won 32, or 53.3%, of those games.
  • Boston has a record of 21-16, a 56.8% win rate, when favored by -126 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Red Sox have a 55.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Yankees have come away with 17 wins in the 45 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, New York has won 13 of 33 games when listed as at least +106 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 48.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

  • The Red Sox went 6-4 across the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the total two times.
  • The Red Sox are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 12
ERA 4.40
K/9 9.1

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Red Sox Player Insights

  • Rafael Devers has gone yard 27 times in the 2023 campaign while knocking in 81 runs, both totals that lead the Red Sox.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Devers ranks 65th in batting average, 64th in on-base percentage, and 16th in slugging.
  • Justin Turner is batting .285 with 25 doubles, 19 home runs and 40 walks.
  • Turner is 47th in homers and 25th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • Masataka Yoshida paces the Red Sox with a .300 batting average.
  • Alex Verdugo is batting .271 with 29 doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 39 walks.
  • Verdugo has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .235 with a home run and two RBI.

Red Sox Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Rafael Devers - 1.5 (-120) 0.5 (+295) 0.5 (+150)
Alex Verdugo 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+225)
Triston Casas 0.5 (-189) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+330) 0.5 (+145)
Justin Turner 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+195)
Jarren Duran 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+175)

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Yankees matchup on Fox Sports.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

  • In five games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Yankees had a record of 1-4.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Yankees and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
  • The Yankees have a record of 2-8-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 8
ERA 5.74
K/9 9.5

Yankees Player Insights

  • Torres has recorded a team-high batting average of .265 and leads the Yankees in runs batted in with a mark of 49.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Torres' home run total is 58th and his RBI tally ranks 104th.
  • Aaron Judge has put his power on display as he paces his team with 22 home runs.
  • Judge ranks 26th in home runs and 124th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Anthony Volpe is batting .213 with 14 doubles, four triples, 16 home runs and 42 walks.
  • Harrison Bader has 10 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 11 walks while batting .259.

Yankees Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
DJ LeMahieu 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+260)
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+250)
Gleyber Torres 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+165)
Aaron Judge 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+240) 0.5 (+150)
Giancarlo Stanton 0.5 (-189) 0.5 (-189) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+160)

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