Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 27

Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 27

Updated Jul. 27, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

The Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees will meet on Saturday at Fenway Park, at 7:15 PM ET, with Jarren Duran and Aaron Judge among those expected to produce at the plate. The Yankees are listed as +102 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favorite Red Sox (-121). New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +153 odds). The matchup's total is listed at 10 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Yankees game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays and moments in this matchup between the New York Yankees and the Boston Red Sox.
ADVERTISEMENT

Red Sox vs. Yankees Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, July 27, 2024 at 7:15 PM ET
  • Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
  • How to Watch on TV: FOX
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox -121 +102 10 -106 -114 -1.5 -183 +153

Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Yankees 5
  • Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Red Sox 51%, Yankees 49%

Red Sox vs. Yankees Betting Insights

  • This season, the Red Sox have been favored 52 times and won 30, or 57.7%, of those games.
  • Boston has a record of 24-15, a 61.5% win rate, when favored by -121 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.8% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
  • The Yankees have been victorious in 16, or 76.2%, of the 21 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, New York has come away with a win eight times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least +102 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 49.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
FINAL (10)
NYY 11 · BOS 8
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
New York Yankees
NYY
Boston Red Sox
BOS

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

  • The Red Sox played as the moneyline favorite for five of their last 10 games, and went 3-2 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Red Sox combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total five times.
  • The Red Sox have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 13
ERA 5.58
K/9 7.2

Red Sox Player Insights

  • Duran is batting .291 with 30 doubles, 12 triples, 13 home runs and 37 walks.
  • Duran ranks 74th in homers and 49th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Duran has collected a hit in nine games in a row. In his last 10 outings he is batting .409 with five doubles, two triples, three home runs, three walks and 10 RBI.
  • Rafael Devers has hit 23 home runs with 64 runs batted in while hitting .296. Those stats all pace his team.
  • Devers is ninth in homers and 20th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Devers heads into this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .389 with four doubles, four walks and three RBI.
  • Ceddanne Rafaela is hitting .251 with 16 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 12 walks.
  • Rafaela is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .273 with a home run and three RBI.
  • Tyler O'Neill has 14 doubles, 20 home runs and 35 walks while hitting .268.
  • O'Neill has recorded at least one hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .364 with two doubles, four home runs, a walk and eight RBI.

Red Sox Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Rafael Devers 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (-115) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+110)
Dominic Smith 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+165)
Jarren Duran 1.5 (+130) 1.5 () 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+130)
Tyler O'Neill 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+155)
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+135)

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Yankees matchup on Fox Sports.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

  • The Yankees have been underdogs once in the past 10 games and won that contest.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Yankees and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
  • The Yankees are 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 18
ERA 4.39
K/9 9.5

Yankees Player Insights

  • Juan Soto leads the Yankees with a team-leading batting average of .307.
  • In all of MLB, Soto ranks sixth in homers and fifth in RBI.
  • Judge has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 36 home runs and 92 RBI.
  • Judge is first in homers and first in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Anthony Volpe is batting .252 with 19 doubles, seven triples, eight home runs and 30 walks.
  • Alex Verdugo is batting .231 with 20 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 32 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Juan Soto 1.5 (+170) 1.5 (-115) 0.5 (+310) 0.5 (+135)
Austin Wells 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+140)
Anthony Volpe 0.5 () 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+215)
Alex Verdugo 1.5 () 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+185)
Aaron Judge 1.5 (+175) 1.5 () 0.5 (+230) 0.5 (-105)

Yankees acquire Jazz Chisholm per Ken Rosenthal | MLB on FOX

Ken Rosenthal reports that the New York Yankees are acquiring Jazz Chisholm Jr.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
share