Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 12

Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 12

Updated Sep. 12, 2023 10:16 a.m. ET

The Boston Red Sox and Masataka Yoshida will square off against the New York Yankees and Giancarlo Stanton on Tuesday at 1:35 PM ET, at Fenway Park. Oddsmakers list the Red Sox as -133 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Yankees +113 moneyline odds to win. Boston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total for the game has been set at 9.5 runs.

The Red Sox will give the ball to Nick Pivetta (9-8) against the Yankees and Randy Vasquez (2-2).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Yankees game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Red Sox vs. Yankees Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Tuesday, September 12, 2023 at 1:35 PM ET
  • Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
  • How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox -133 +113 9.5 -100 -120 -1.5 +150 -180

Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Yankees 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Red Sox 54%, Yankees 46%

Red Sox vs. Yankees Betting Insights

  • The Red Sox have been favorites in 67 games this season and won 35 (52.2%) of those contests.
  • Boston has entered 39 games this season favored by -133 or more and is 20-19 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 57.1%.
  • The Yankees have been underdogs in 54 games this season and have come away with the win 23 times (42.6%) in those contests.
  • This season, New York has been victorious 16 times in 37 chances when named as an underdog of at least +113 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 46.9% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

  • The Red Sox have a 2-2 record from the four games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the total eight times.
  • The Red Sox are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 5.7
HR 10
ERA 6.78
K/9 9

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Red Sox Player Insights

  • Rafael Devers has a team-best 29 homers.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Devers ranks 47th in batting average, 41st in on-base percentage, and 20th in slugging.
  • Devers has collected a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .333 with three doubles, a walk and two RBI.
  • Justin Turner has been productive as he paces his team with 94 RBI.
  • Turner is 47th in homers in the majors, and 10th in RBI.
  • Turner enters this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .318 with a double, a home run and five RBI.
  • Yoshida paces the Red Sox with a .293 batting average.
  • Alex Verdugo is hitting .275 with 36 doubles, five triples, 13 home runs and 42 walks.
  • Verdugo has recorded at least one hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .286 with three doubles, a triple and an RBI.

Red Sox Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Trevor Story 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+170)
Triston Casas 0.5 (-196) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+140)
Rafael Devers 1.5 (+170) 1.5 (-120) 0.5 (+350) 0.5 (+135)
Alex Verdugo 1.5 (+155) 1.5 (-115) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+175)
Adam Duvall 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+330) 0.5 (+130)

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Yankees matchup on Fox Sports.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

  • In three games as an underdog over the last 10 matchups, New York has a perfect record of 3-0.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Yankees and their opponents are 4-5-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Yankees have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4
HR 14
ERA 3.92
K/9 9.5

Yankees Player Insights

  • Gleyber Torres paces the Yankees with 62 runs batted in while accumulating a team-high batting average of .269.
  • Torres' home run total places him 33rd in the big leagues, and he ranks 97th in RBI.
  • Aaron Judge has shown his power as he leads his team with 31 home runs.
  • Judge is currently 13th in homers and 109th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Anthony Volpe is batting .212 with 18 doubles, four triples, 20 home runs and 48 walks.
  • DJ LeMahieu is batting .237 with 19 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 51 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Aaron Judge 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (-115) 0.5 (+175) 0.5 (+115)
Gleyber Torres 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+145)
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+155) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+230)
DJ LeMahieu 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+225)
Estevan Florial 0.5 (-110) 0.5 (-110) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+260)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Red Sox vs Yankees!

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